The Political Record · Federal electoral districts
Chatham-Kent—Leamington
Federal riding · ON · No. 35021 · 2023 representation order
- Member
- Dave Epp Conservative
- 2025 result
- Conservative hold by 15,634 votes
- Turnout
- 67.9% of 107,156 electors
- Population
- 134,225 2021 census
- Area
- 4,158 km²
- Figures as of
- 2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
- Most populous in Canada134,225 people, 2021 census · 2nd of 343
- Area, largest first4,158 km² · 99th of 343 in Canada
- Width of the marginWon by 21.6 points (15,634 votes) · 126th of 343 in Canada
In brief
- Dave Epp held the seat for the Conservatives by 15,634 votes (+21.6 points).
- 27% of today's riding was drawn from other ridings in 2023.
- Election-day and advance voters agreed on the winner; 62.6% of votes were cast on the day.
- Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is the 25th lowest of 343 ridings.
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
Dave Epp
- Member: Agriculture and Agri-Food
IDid this riding change?
Yes. 27% of today's Chatham-Kent—Leamington came from ridings other than the old Chatham-Kent—Leamington.
Share of today's areaFormer riding
73.1%Chatham-Kent—Leamington 91% of it kept
26.5%Lambton—Kent—Middlesex 18% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.
IIThe 2025 result
Conservative hold
Elected
Dave Epp
Conservative
41,612
57.5% of valid votes
Margin
15,634
votes · +21.6 pts
Runner-up
Keith Pickard
Liberal
25,978
35.9% of valid votes
Conservative 57.5% · Liberal 35.9% · New Democratic 4.1% · People's 1.5% · Green 1.0%
Turnout67.9% of 107,156 electors
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | 2021 | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dave Epp | Conservative | 41,612 | 57.5% | 42.1% | +15.4 |
| Keith Pickard | Liberal | 25,978 | 35.9% | 26.5% | +9.4 |
| Seamus McInnis Fleming | New Democratic | 2,943 | 4.1% | 14.5% | −10.4 |
| Trevor Lee | People's | 1,061 | 1.5% | 14.6% | −13.1 |
| James Plunkett | Green | 757 | 1.0% | 1.5% | −0.5 |
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.
IIIHow close was it, really
Swing needed to flip
10.8 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
2,943 votes
New Democratic took fewer than the 15,634-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
14 of 257
No poll ended in a tie.
Flip the seatHypothetical
It would have taken 7,818 voters switching from Conservative to Liberal — 10.8% of the 72,351 valid votes, 10.8 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.
Conservative41,612
Liberal25,978
Still Conservative by 15,634 votes. Actual margin: 15,634.
IVElection day versus advance
Only 62.6% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.
Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Conservative60.3%52.8%−7.5
Liberal32.5%41.7%+9.2
New Democratic4.4%3.5%−0.9
People's1.6%1.2%−0.4
Green1.2%0.8%−0.4
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.
VWhat kind of place this is
- Median total household income is $73,000 — a little lower than the median riding's $84,000.highestlowest81st lowest of 343
- Median age is 45.2 — a little higher than the median riding's 41.6.highestlowest78th highest of 343
- Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 14.6% — about 52 percent of the median riding's 28.2%.highestlowest25th lowest of 343
- Share who are immigrants is 12.6% — about 73 percent of the median riding's 17.3%.highestlowest139th lowest of 343
- Share of households that own their home is 71.5% — about the same as the median riding's 71.4%.highestlowest168th highest of 343
- Share with French as a mother tongue is 1.9% — about 1.2 times the median riding's 1.6%.highestlowest141st highest of 343
2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.
VIWhere it is
loading basemap…
The card
No. 35021ON · 2025
Chatham-Kent—Leamington
Dave Epp
- Result
- Conservative hold by 15,634
- Turnout
- 67.9%
- Population
- 134,225
- Area
- 4,158 km²
Most populous in CanadaArea, largest firstWidth of the margin
One of 343The Political Record
A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.
Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.
Open a neighbour to collect the next one.