The Political RecordFederal electoral districtsNo. 35022Ontario

Davenport

Davenport is a federal riding in Ontario. Julie Dzerowicz (Liberal, first elected to the House in 2015) represents Davenport. Julie Dzerowicz (Liberal) held Davenport for the Liberals in the 2025 election by 21,175 votes (34.6 points), with 57.8% of the vote. Francis Lavoie (Conservative) was second with 23.2%, on a turnout of 65.8% of 93,839 electors. Member as of 2026-11-01.

Fig. 1 — Davenport on the board, 2023 boundaries; the ridings next door as the House holds them on 2026-11-01. Open it on the board →

Who represents Davenport

Julie Dzerowicz's piece from the board. Illustration after the official portrait © House of Commons.

Julie Dzerowicz

Member of Parliament for Davenport

Liberal

MP since 2015-10-19 · 4 terms

Chair, Citizenship and Immigration committee
Chair, Subcommittee on Agenda and Procedure
Citizenship and Immigration committee
Liaison committee

108 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Citizenship Act.

Contact and office · House of Commons →

The 2025 result: Liberal hold

Share of the valid votes by candidate, Davenport, April 28, 2025

Shares of the 61,174 valid votes; a candidate under 1% is counted with the others. Source: Elections Canada, official voting results, the 2025 general election.

The figures

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Julie Dzerowicz	Liberal	35,364	57.8%
Francis Lavoie	Conservative	14,189	23.2%
Sandra Sousa	New Democratic	10,452	17.1%
Lilian Barrera	Green	782	1.3%
Other (1)		387	0.6%

Julie Dzerowicz (Liberal) won Davenport on April 28, 2025 with 35,364 votes, 57.8% of the 61,174 valid votes. Francis Lavoie (Conservative) was second with 14,189 (23.2%), 21,175 votes and 34.6 points behind.

Of the 61,174 valid votes, Julie Dzerowicz (Liberal) took 57.8%, Francis Lavoie (Conservative) 23.2%, Sandra Sousa (New Democratic) 17.1% and Lilian Barrera (Green) 1.3%; one other candidate took 0.6%. Turnout was 65.8% of 93,839 electors: 61,702 ballots cast, 61,174 of them valid, for 5 candidates.

Since 2021

Against the 2021 result on these boundaries, the Liberals are up 14.6 (43.2% to 57.8%), the Conservatives up 12.4 (10.8% to 23.2%), the New Democrats down 22.1 (39.2% to 17.1%) and the Greens down 1.1 (2.4% to 1.3%), in points of the valid votes.

2021 is Elections Canada's transposition of that election onto the 2023 boundaries, not an election held on these lines.

Since 2004: usually Liberal

The party first in Davenport at each general election, 2004 to 2025, on today's boundaries

2004Liberal51.6%by 19.2 points over the New Democrats
2006Liberal52.0%by 20.6 points over the New Democrats
2008Liberal45.9%by 15.6 points over the New Democrats
2011changed handsNew Democratic51.2%by 22.4 points over the Liberals
2015changed handsLiberal45.1%by 6.0 points over the New Democrats
2019Liberal45.5%by 7.7 points over the New Democrats
2021Liberal43.2%by 4.0 points over the New Democrats
2025Liberal57.8%by 34.6 points over the Conservatives

Each election carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate to 2019, Elections Canada's transposition for 2021, the official result for 2025. Parties are counted as they ran.

The figures

Year	First	Share	Second	Margin (pts)	Basis
2004	Liberal	51.6%	New Democratic	19.2	carried, our estimate
2006	Liberal	52.0%	New Democratic	20.6	carried, our estimate
2008	Liberal	45.9%	New Democratic	15.6	carried, our estimate
2011	New Democratic	51.2%	Liberal	22.4	carried, our estimate
2015	Liberal	45.1%	New Democratic	6.0	carried, our estimate
2019	Liberal	45.5%	New Democratic	7.7	carried, our estimate
2021	Liberal	43.2%	New Democratic	4.0	transposed by Elections Canada
2025	Liberal	57.8%	Conservative	34.6	official result

The Liberals were first here at seven of the eight general elections from 2004 to 2025; the NDP were first in 2011. In 2025 the Liberals took 57.8% of the vote here, 13.2 points above their average of 44.6% at the seven general elections from 2004 to 2021.

On today's boundaries the Liberals were first here in 2004 (51.6%), 2006 (52.0%), 2008 (45.9%), 2015 (45.1%), 2019 (45.5%), 2021 (43.2%) and 2025 (57.8%) and the NDP in 2011 (51.2%), each with the share of the valid votes shown.

A stronghold is a party first at every general election since 2004, by an average of 20 points or more over the next party; held, first at every one; usually, first at all but one. By-elections are not counted. By this rule 83 of the 343 ridings are usually one party's. The results before 2021 are carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate, from the older boundaries of Taylor, Lucas, Kirby and Hewitt and the results in Sevi's "Who Runs?". 2021 is Elections Canada's transposition, and 2025 the official result.

Before 2025

2021 Liberal · Julie Dzerowicz, by 76 votes (0.1 pts)
2019 Liberal · Julie Dzerowicz, by 1,439 votes (2.7 pts)
2015 Liberal · Julie Dzerowicz, by 1,441 votes (2.9 pts)

In the old Davenport on the 2013 boundaries, the riding most of the 2025 electors in today's Davenport lived in; Elections Canada's official results.

What kind of place Davenport is

Population: 125,0502021 census
Area: 15km²
Density: 8,173people per km²
Electors: 93,839on the 2025 lists

Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings

6th-smallest by area in Canada
15 km² · 6th of 343

Share of households that own their home is 52.4% — about 73 percent of the median riding's 71.4%.
highestlowest54th lowest of 343
Share who are immigrants is 39.6% — about 2.3 times the median riding's 17.3%.
highestlowest57th highest of 343
Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 43.5% — about 1.5 times the median riding's 28.2%.
highestlowest74th highest of 343
Median age is 38.8 — a little lower than the median riding's 41.6.
highestlowest89th lowest of 343
Share with French as a mother tongue is 1.3% — about 81 percent of the median riding's 1.6%.
highestlowest141st lowest of 343
Median total household income is $84,000 — about the same as the median riding's $84,000.
highestlowest162nd highest of 343

2021 Census on the 2023 boundaries; each rule places this riding among all 343. Density is the census population over the riding's area.

IDid this riding change?

Yes. 86% of the 2025 electors in today's Davenport lived in the old Davenport; by area, 18% of the riding came from other ridings.

Share of today's electorsFormer riding

86.3%Davenport 82.5% of the area

7.3%York South—Weston 11.1% of the area · 7% of it kept

4.9%Toronto—St. Paul's 5.0% of the area · 6% of it kept

1.5%Spadina—Fort York 1.3% of the area · 1% of it kept

How this is measured. Electors: the share of the current riding's 2025 ordinary-list electors who lived in each former riding, each 2025 polling division placed in the 2013 riding a point inside it falls in. Area: the share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files, and how much of the former riding that part was. Area is land, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

Candidate	Party	Votes	%	2021	±
Julie Dzerowicz	Liberal	35,364	57.8%	43.2%	+14.6
Francis Lavoie	Conservative	14,189	23.2%	10.8%	+12.4
Sandra Sousa	New Democratic	10,452	17.1%	39.2%	−22.1
Lilian Barrera	Green	782	1.3%	2.4%	−1.1

1 further candidate, under 1% of the vote

Dave McKee

Other

387

0.6%

The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Third place vs. the margin

10,452 votes

New Democratic took fewer than the 21,175-vote margin.

Election-day polls won by others

8 of 202

No poll ended in a tie.

Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Liberals (194) · ■ won by another party (8).

Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 10,588 voters switching from Liberal to Conservative — 17.3% of the 61,174 valid votes, 17.3 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Voters who switch: 0021,176

Liberal35,364

Conservative14,189

Still Liberal by 21,175 votes. Actual margin: 21,175.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 61.8% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.

On election day the Liberals took 55.3%, the Conservatives 26.2%, the New Democrats 16.4% and the Greens 1.5%; in advance and special ballots, 61.9%, 18.4%, 18.2% and 1.0%, in that order.

Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, Davenport, April 28, 2025

Shares of the valid votes cast at election-day polls, and of those cast at advance polls, at mobile polls and by special ballot; the gap is the second less the first, in points. Source: Elections Canada, poll-by-poll results, the 2025 general election.

The figures

Party	Election day	Advance and special	Gap
Liberal	55.3%	61.9%	+6.6
Conservative	26.2%	18.4%	−7.8
New Democratic	16.4%	18.2%	+1.8
Green	1.5%	1.0%	−0.5

An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhere it is

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Fig. 3 — Davenport and its 6 neighbouring ridings.

Sources and citation

"Davenport — federal riding profile and 2025 results."
The Political Record. https://politicalrecord.ca/riding/davenport/
Accessed 2026-11-10.

Results and transposition: Elections Canada. Boundaries: Elections Canada / Statistics Canada, Open Government Licence – Canada. Census: Statistics Canada 2021 Census. Member: House of Commons.

Figures reconcile to the certified national total of 19,641,663 votes. The member is as the House of Commons listed them on 2026-11-01. Page built 2026-11-10.