The Political Record · Federal electoral districts
Churchill—Keewatinook Aski
Federal riding · MB · No. 46002 · 2023 representation order
- Member
- Rebecca Chartrand Liberal
- 2025 result
- Liberal gain by 3,433 votes
- Turnout
- 41.5% of 50,006 electors
- Population
- 82,745 2021 census
- Area
- 494,572 km²
- Figures as of
- 2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
- Lowest turnout in Canada41.5% of 50,006 electors voted · 3rd of 343
- Largest by area in Canada494,572 km² · 4th of 343
- Youngest median ageMedian age 28.4, 3rd lowest of 343 (Median age, 2021 census)
- Largest Indigenous share76.9% report an Indigenous identity, 3rd highest of 343 (Share with an Indigenous identity, 2021 census)
- Fewest university degrees13.2% of 25–64s hold a bachelor's or higher, 7th lowest of 343 (Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher, 2021 census)
- Least populous in Manitoba82,745 people, 2021 census · 1st of 14 in Manitoba · 32nd of 343 in Canada
In brief
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
Rebecca Chartrand
- Minister of Northern and Arctic Affairs
- Minister responsible for the Canadian Northern Economic Development Agency
IDid this riding change?
Essentially no. Today's Churchill—Keewatinook Aski covers almost exactly the same ground as the Churchill—Keewatinook Aski riding it replaced.
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.
IIThe 2025 result
Liberal gain
Elected
Rebecca Chartrand
Liberal
9,313
45.5% of valid votes
Margin
3,433
votes · +16.8 pts
Runner-up
Niki Ashton
New Democratic
5,880
28.7% of valid votes
Liberal 45.5% · New Democratic 28.7% · Conservative 24.1% · People's 1.7%
Turnout41.5% of 50,006 electors
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | 2021 | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rebecca Chartrand | Liberal | 9,313 | 45.5% | 24.9% | +20.6 |
| Niki Ashton | New Democratic | 5,880 | 28.7% | 42.1% | −13.4 |
| Lachlan De Nardi | Conservative | 4,927 | 24.1% | 23.9% | +0.2 |
| Dylan Young | People's | 349 | 1.7% | 5.0% | −3.3 |
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.
IIIHow close was it, really
Swing needed to flip
8.4 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
4,927 votes
Conservative took more than the 3,433-vote margin. True in 100 of 343 ridings in 2025.
Election-day polls won by others
62 of 115
No poll ended in a tie.
Flip the seatHypothetical
It would have taken 1,717 voters switching from Liberal to New Democratic — 8.4% of the 20,469 valid votes, 8.4 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.
Liberal9,313
New Democratic5,880
Still Liberal by 3,433 votes. Actual margin: 3,433.
IVElection day versus advance
Only 69.3% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.
Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Liberal47.3%41.4%−5.9
New Democratic28.2%29.9%+1.7
Conservative22.8%26.9%+4.1
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.
VWhat kind of place this is
- Median total household income is $76,000 — a little lower than the median riding's $84,000.highestlowest104th lowest of 343
- Median age is 28.4 — about 68 percent of the median riding's 41.6.highestlowest3rd lowest of 343
- Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 13.2% — about 47 percent of the median riding's 28.2%.highestlowest7th lowest of 343
- Share who are immigrants is 3.3% — about 19 percent of the median riding's 17.3%.highestlowest34th lowest of 343
- Share of households that own their home is 40.6% — about 57 percent of the median riding's 71.4%.highestlowest25th lowest of 343
- Share with French as a mother tongue is 0.6% — about 37 percent of the median riding's 1.6%.highestlowest30th lowest of 343
2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.
VIWhere it is
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The card
No. 46002MB · 2025
Churchill—Keewatinook Aski
Rebecca Chartrand
- Result
- Liberal gain by 3,433
- Turnout
- 41.5%
- Population
- 82,745
- Area
- 494,572 km²
Lowest turnout in CanadaLargest by area in CanadaYoungest median ageLargest Indigenous shareFewest university degreesLeast populous in Manitoba
One of 343The Political Record
A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.
Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.
Open a neighbour to collect the next one.