The Political Record · Federal electoral districts
Huron—Bruce
Federal riding · ON · No. 35042 · 2023 representation order
- Member
- Ben Lobb Conservative
- 2025 result
- Conservative hold by 8,091 votes
- Turnout
- 75.8% of 92,420 electors
- Population
- 112,930 2021 census
- Area
- 6,268 km²
- Figures as of
- 2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
- Boundaries unchanged in 2023Covers the same ground as its predecessor · one of 59 of 343 by area
- Turnout75.8% of 92,420 electors voted · 22nd of 343 in Canada
- Length of the ballot6 candidates stood · 61st of 343 in Canada
In brief
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
Ben Lobb
IDid this riding change?
Essentially no. Today's Huron—Bruce covers almost exactly the same ground as the Huron—Bruce riding it replaced.
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.
IIThe 2025 result
Conservative hold
Elected
Ben Lobb
Conservative
37,027
53.2% of valid votes
Margin
8,091
votes · +11.7 pts
Runner-up
James Rice
Liberal
28,936
41.5% of valid votes
Conservative 53.2% · Liberal 41.5% · New Democratic 3.3% · Green 1.3%
Turnout75.8% of 92,420 electors
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | 2021 | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Lobb | Conservative | 37,027 | 53.2% | 50.6% | +2.6 |
| James Rice | Liberal | 28,936 | 41.5% | 26.0% | +15.5 |
| Melanie Burrett | New Democratic | 2,300 | 3.3% | 14.7% | −11.4 |
| Gregory J McLean | Green | 927 | 1.3% | — | +1.3 |
2 further candidates, each under 1% of the vote
| Justin L Smith | Independent | 273 | 0.4% |
| Caesar salad Pella | Independent | 194 | 0.3% |
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.
IIIHow close was it, really
Swing needed to flip
5.8 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
2,300 votes
New Democratic took fewer than the 8,091-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
53 of 224
No poll ended in a tie.
Flip the seatHypothetical
It would have taken 4,046 voters switching from Conservative to Liberal — 5.8% of the 69,657 valid votes, 5.8 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.
Conservative37,027
Liberal28,936
Still Conservative by 8,091 votes. Actual margin: 8,091.
IVElection day versus advance
Only 56.7% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.
Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Conservative58.4%46.3%−12.1
Liberal35.4%49.5%+14.1
New Democratic3.8%2.7%−1.1
Green1.6%1.0%−0.6
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.
VWhat kind of place this is
- Median total household income is $86,000 — about the same as the median riding's $84,000.highestlowest147th highest of 343
- Median age is 46.0 — a little higher than the median riding's 41.6.highestlowest65th highest of 343
- Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 19.3% — about 68 percent of the median riding's 28.2%.highestlowest84th lowest of 343
- Share who are immigrants is 7.5% — about 43 percent of the median riding's 17.3%.highestlowest86th lowest of 343
- Share of households that own their home is 79.2% — a little higher than the median riding's 71.4%.highestlowest69th highest of 343
- Share with French as a mother tongue is 0.8% — about 50 percent of the median riding's 1.6%.highestlowest61st lowest of 343
2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.
VIWhere it is
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The card
No. 35042ON · 2025
Huron—Bruce
Ben Lobb
- Result
- Conservative hold by 8,091
- Turnout
- 75.8%
- Population
- 112,930
- Area
- 6,268 km²
Boundaries unchanged in 2023TurnoutLength of the ballot
One of 343The Political Record
A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.
Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.
Open a neighbour to collect the next one.