The Political RecordFederal electoral districtsNo. 35042Ontario

Huron—Bruce

Huron—Bruce is a federal riding in Ontario. Ben Lobb (Conservative, first elected to the House in 2008) represents Huron—Bruce. Ben Lobb (Conservative) held Huron—Bruce for the Conservatives in the 2025 election by 8,091 votes (11.7 points), with 53.2% of the vote. James Rice (Liberal) was second with 41.5%, on a turnout of 75.8% of 92,420 electors. Member as of 2026-11-01.

Fig. 1 — Huron—Bruce on the board, 2023 boundaries; the ridings next door as the House holds them on 2026-11-01. Open it on the board →

Who represents Huron—Bruce

Ben Lobb's piece from the board. Illustration after the official portrait © House of Commons.

Ben Lobb

Member of Parliament for Huron—Bruce

Conservative

MP since 2008-10-14 · 6 terms

20 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on An Act to Implement the Protocol on the Accession of the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland to the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership.

Contact and office · House of Commons →

The 2025 result: Conservative hold

Share of the valid votes by candidate, Huron—Bruce, April 28, 2025

Shares of the 69,657 valid votes; a candidate under 1% is counted with the others. Source: Elections Canada, official voting results, the 2025 general election.

The figures

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Ben Lobb	Conservative	37,027	53.2%
James Rice	Liberal	28,936	41.5%
Melanie Burrett	New Democratic	2,300	3.3%
Gregory J McLean	Green	927	1.3%
Others (2)		467	0.7%

Ben Lobb (Conservative) won Huron—Bruce on April 28, 2025 with 37,027 votes, 53.2% of the 69,657 valid votes. James Rice (Liberal) was second with 28,936 (41.5%), 8,091 votes and 11.7 points behind.

Of the 69,657 valid votes, Ben Lobb (Conservative) took 53.2%, James Rice (Liberal) 41.5%, Melanie Burrett (New Democratic) 3.3% and Gregory J McLean (Green) 1.3%; the 2 other candidates took 0.7% together. Turnout was 75.8% of 92,420 electors: 70,009 ballots cast, 69,657 of them valid, for 6 candidates.

Since 2021

Against the 2021 result on these boundaries, the Conservatives are up 2.6 (50.6% to 53.2%), the Liberals up 15.5 (26.0% to 41.5%) and the New Democrats down 11.4 (14.7% to 3.3%), in points of the valid votes.

2021 is Elections Canada's transposition of that election onto the 2023 boundaries, not an election held on these lines.

Since 2004: no party has held it

The party first in Huron—Bruce at each general election, 2004 to 2025, on today's boundaries

2004Liberal49.8%by 18.7 points over the Conservatives
2006†Liberal39.8%by 1.8 points over the Conservatives
2008changed handsConservative44.8%by 11.8 points over the Liberals
2011Conservative55.0%by 29.6 points over the New Democrats
2015Conservative44.9%by 5.2 points over the Liberals
2019Conservative48.5%by 15.4 points over the Liberals
2021Conservative50.6%by 24.6 points over the Liberals
2025Conservative53.2%by 11.7 points over the Liberals

Each election carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate to 2019, Elections Canada's transposition for 2021, the official result for 2025. Parties are counted as they ran. † The first two are within two points, so which party was first is less certain.

The figures

Year	First	Share	Second	Margin (pts)	Basis
2004	Liberal	49.8%	Conservative	18.7	carried, our estimate
2006†	Liberal	39.8%	Conservative	1.8	carried, our estimate
2008	Conservative	44.8%	Liberal	11.8	carried, our estimate
2011	Conservative	55.0%	New Democratic	29.6	carried, our estimate
2015	Conservative	44.9%	Liberal	5.2	carried, our estimate
2019	Conservative	48.5%	Liberal	15.4	carried, our estimate
2021	Conservative	50.6%	Liberal	24.6	transposed by Elections Canada
2025	Conservative	53.2%	Liberal	11.7	official result

The Conservatives were first at six of the eight general elections from 2004 to 2025, the Liberals at two; it changed hands once. In 2025 the Conservatives took 53.2% of the vote here, 8.5 points above their average of 44.7% at the seven general elections from 2004 to 2021.

On today's boundaries the Liberals were first here in 2004 (49.8%) and 2006 (39.8%) and the Conservatives in 2008 (44.8%), 2011 (55.0%), 2015 (44.9%), 2019 (48.5%), 2021 (50.6%) and 2025 (53.2%), each with the share of the valid votes shown.

A stronghold is a party first at every general election since 2004, by an average of 20 points or more over the next party; held, first at every one; usually, first at all but one. By-elections are not counted. By this rule 160 of the 343 ridings have no degree. The results before 2021 are carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate, from the older boundaries of Taylor, Lucas, Kirby and Hewitt and the results in Sevi's "Who Runs?". 2021 is Elections Canada's transposition, and 2025 the official result. In 2006 the carried top two are within two points, so which party was first is less certain.

Before 2025

2021 Conservative · Ben Lobb, by 15,155 votes (24.7 pts)
2019 Conservative · Ben Lobb, by 9,345 votes (15.4 pts)
2015 Conservative · Ben Lobb, by 3,045 votes (5.2 pts)

In the old Huron—Bruce on the 2013 boundaries, the riding most of the 2025 electors in today's Huron—Bruce lived in; Elections Canada's official results.

What kind of place Huron—Bruce is

Population: 112,9302021 census
Area: 6,268km²
Density: 18people per km²
Electors: 92,420on the 2025 lists

Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings

Boundaries unchanged in 2023
Covers the same ground as its predecessor, and the same electors · one of 54 of 343 by area and electors

Share with French as a mother tongue is 0.8% — about 50 percent of the median riding's 1.6%.
highestlowest61st lowest of 343
Median age is 46.0 — a little higher than the median riding's 41.6.
highestlowest65th highest of 343
Share of households that own their home is 79.2% — a little higher than the median riding's 71.4%.
highestlowest69th highest of 343
Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 19.3% — about 68 percent of the median riding's 28.2%.
highestlowest84th lowest of 343
Share who are immigrants is 7.5% — about 43 percent of the median riding's 17.3%.
highestlowest86th lowest of 343
Median total household income is $86,000 — about the same as the median riding's $84,000.
highestlowest147th highest of 343

2021 Census on the 2023 boundaries; each rule places this riding among all 343. Density is the census population over the riding's area.

IDid this riding change?

Essentially no. Today's Huron—Bruce covers almost exactly the same ground as the Huron—Bruce riding it replaced, and 100% of its 2025 electors lived in it.

How this is measured. Electors: the share of the current riding's 2025 ordinary-list electors who lived in each former riding, each 2025 polling division placed in the 2013 riding a point inside it falls in. Area: the share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files, and how much of the former riding that part was. Area is land, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

Candidate	Party	Votes	%	2021	±
Ben Lobb	Conservative	37,027	53.2%	50.6%	+2.6
James Rice	Liberal	28,936	41.5%	26.0%	+15.5
Melanie Burrett	New Democratic	2,300	3.3%	14.7%	−11.4
Gregory J McLean	Green	927	1.3%	—	+1.3

2 further candidates, each under 1% of the vote

Justin L Smith	Independent	273	0.4%
Caesar salad Pella	Independent	194	0.3%

The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Third place vs. the margin

2,300 votes

New Democratic took fewer than the 8,091-vote margin.

Election-day polls won by others

53 of 224

No poll ended in a tie.

Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Conservatives (171) · ■ won by another party (53).

Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 4,046 voters switching from Conservative to Liberal — 5.8% of the 69,657 valid votes, 5.8 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Voters who switch: 008,092

Conservative37,027

Liberal28,936

Still Conservative by 8,091 votes. Actual margin: 8,091.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 56.7% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.

On election day the Liberals took 35.4%, the Conservatives 58.4%, the New Democrats 3.8% and the Greens 1.6%; in advance and special ballots, 49.5%, 46.3%, 2.7% and 1.0%, in that order.

Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, Huron—Bruce, April 28, 2025

Shares of the valid votes cast at election-day polls, and of those cast at advance polls, at mobile polls and by special ballot; the gap is the second less the first, in points. Source: Elections Canada, poll-by-poll results, the 2025 general election.

The figures

Party	Election day	Advance and special	Gap
Liberal	35.4%	49.5%	+14.1
Conservative	58.4%	46.3%	−12.1
New Democratic	3.8%	2.7%	−1.1
Green	1.6%	1.0%	−0.6

An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhere it is

loading basemap…

Fig. 3 — Huron—Bruce and its 4 neighbouring ridings.

Sources and citation

"Huron—Bruce — federal riding profile and 2025 results."
The Political Record. https://politicalrecord.ca/riding/huron-bruce/
Accessed 2026-11-10.

Results and transposition: Elections Canada. Boundaries: Elections Canada / Statistics Canada, Open Government Licence – Canada. Census: Statistics Canada 2021 Census. Member: House of Commons.

Figures reconcile to the certified national total of 19,641,663 votes. The member is as the House of Commons listed them on 2026-11-01. Page built 2026-11-10.