The Political Record · Federal electoral districts

Perth—Wellington

Federal riding · ON · No. 35085 · 2023 representation order
Fig. 1 — Perth—Wellington, 2023 boundaries.
Member
John Nater Conservative
2025 result
Conservative hold by 7,830 votes
Turnout
71.2% of 90,478 electors
Population
113,930 2021 census
Area
3,782 km²
Figures as of
2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
  • Boundaries unchanged in 2023: Covers the same ground as its predecessor · one of 59 of 343 by area59
    Boundaries unchanged in 2023
    Covers the same ground as its predecessor · one of 59 of 343 by area
  • Area, largest first: 3,782 km² · 103rd of 343 in Canada103rd
    Area, largest first
    3,782 km² · 103rd of 343 in Canada
  • Turnout: 71.2% of 90,478 electors voted · 125th of 343 in Canada125th
    Turnout
    71.2% of 90,478 electors voted · 125th of 343 in Canada
In brief
  1. John Nater held the seat for the Conservatives by 7,830 votes (+12.2 points).
  2. The boundaries did not change in 2023.
  3. Election-day and advance voters agreed on the winner; 52.4% of votes were cast on the day.
  4. Share with French as a mother tongue is the 20th lowest of 343 ridings.
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
John Nater
Conservative · first elected 2015-10-19 · 4 terms
  • Assistant Deputy Speaker and Assistant Deputy Chair of Committees of the Whole
13 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Car Accident in Mapleton.

IDid this riding change?

Essentially no. Today's Perth—Wellington covers almost exactly the same ground as the Perth—Wellington riding it replaced.

How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

Conservative hold
Elected
John Nater
Conservative
33,972
53.0% of valid votes
Margin
7,830
votes · +12.2 pts
Runner-up
David Mackey
Liberal
26,142
40.8% of valid votes
Conservative 53.0% · Liberal 40.8% · New Democratic 4.5% · People's 1.7%
Turnout71.2% of 90,478 electors
CandidatePartyVotes%2021±
John NaterConservative33,97253.0%48.2%+4.8
David MackeyLiberal26,14240.8%24.5%+16.3
Kevin KruchkywichNew Democratic2,9094.5%17.1%−12.6
Wayne BakerPeople's1,0691.7%9.6%−7.9
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Swing needed to flip
6.1 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
2,909 votes
New Democratic took fewer than the 7,830-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
37 of 186
2 polls ended in an exact tie.
Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Conservatives (147) · ■ won by another party (37) · ▨ tied (2).
Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 3,916 voters switching from Conservative to Liberal — 6.1% of the 64,092 valid votes, 6.1 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Conservative33,972
Liberal26,142
Still Conservative by 7,830 votes. Actual margin: 7,830.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 52.4% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.

Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Conservative58.3%47.2%−11.1
Liberal34.5%47.7%+13.2
New Democratic5.2%3.9%−1.3
People's2.0%1.2%−0.8
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhat kind of place this is

2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.

VIWhere it is

loading basemap…
Fig. 3 — Perth—Wellington and its 7 neighbouring ridings.

The card

No. 35085ON · 2025
Perth—Wellington
John Nater
Result
Conservative hold by 7,830
Turnout
71.2%
Population
113,930
Area
3,782 km²
Boundaries unchanged in 2023: Covers the same ground as its predecessor · one of 59 of 343 by area59Boundaries unchanged in 2023Area, largest first: 3,782 km² · 103rd of 343 in Canada103rdArea, largest firstTurnout: 71.2% of 90,478 electors voted · 125th of 343 in Canada125thTurnout
One of 343The Political Record

A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.

Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.

Open a neighbour to collect the next one.