The Political Record · Federal electoral districts
Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound
Federal riding · ON · No. 35016 · 2023 representation order
- Member
- Alex Ruff Conservative
- 2025 result
- Conservative hold by 8,647 votes
- Turnout
- 69.8% of 96,300 electors
- Population
- 113,350 2021 census
- Area
- 10,251 km²
- Figures as of
- 2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
- Boundaries unchanged in 2023Covers the same ground as its predecessor · one of 59 of 343 by area
- Length of the ballot6 candidates stood · 61st of 343 in Canada
- Area, largest first10,251 km² · 74th of 343 in Canada
In brief
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
Alex Ruff
- Member of the
IDid this riding change?
Essentially no. Today's Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound covers almost exactly the same ground as the Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound riding it replaced.
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.
IIThe 2025 result
Conservative hold
Elected
Alex Ruff
Conservative
35,484
53.0% of valid votes
Margin
8,647
votes · +12.9 pts
Runner-up
Anne Marie Watson
Liberal
26,837
40.1% of valid votes
Conservative 53.0% · Liberal 40.1% · New Democratic 3.1% · Green 2.2%
Turnout69.8% of 96,300 electors
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | 2021 | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Ruff | Conservative | 35,484 | 53.0% | 48.9% | +4.1 |
| Anne Marie Watson | Liberal | 26,837 | 40.1% | 25.1% | +15.0 |
| Christopher Neudorf | New Democratic | 2,069 | 3.1% | 13.5% | −10.4 |
| Natasha Akiwenzie | Green | 1,447 | 2.2% | 3.0% | −0.8 |
2 further candidates, each under 1% of the vote
| Ann Gillies | Other | 554 | 0.8% |
| Pavel Smolko | People's | 520 | 0.8% |
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.
IIIHow close was it, really
Swing needed to flip
6.5 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
2,069 votes
New Democratic took fewer than the 8,647-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
39 of 237
2 polls ended in an exact tie.
Flip the seatHypothetical
It would have taken 4,324 voters switching from Conservative to Liberal — 6.5% of the 66,911 valid votes, 6.5 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.
Conservative35,484
Liberal26,837
Still Conservative by 8,647 votes. Actual margin: 8,647.
IVElection day versus advance
Only 53.1% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.
Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Conservative56.1%49.6%−6.5
Liberal35.7%45.1%+9.4
New Democratic3.6%2.5%−1.1
Green2.7%1.5%−1.2
Other1.0%0.6%−0.4
People's0.9%0.6%−0.3
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.
VWhat kind of place this is
- Median total household income is $75,000 — a little lower than the median riding's $84,000.highestlowest97th lowest of 343
- Median age is 49.2 — about 1.2 times the median riding's 41.6.highestlowest34th highest of 343
- Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 16.4% — about 58 percent of the median riding's 28.2%.highestlowest54th lowest of 343
- Share who are immigrants is 7.8% — about 45 percent of the median riding's 17.3%.highestlowest94th lowest of 343
- Share of households that own their home is 77.9% — a little higher than the median riding's 71.4%.highestlowest85th highest of 343
- Share with French as a mother tongue is 0.8% — about 50 percent of the median riding's 1.6%.highestlowest61st lowest of 343
2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.
VIWhere it is
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The card
No. 35016ON · 2025
Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound
Alex Ruff
- Result
- Conservative hold by 8,647
- Turnout
- 69.8%
- Population
- 113,350
- Area
- 10,251 km²
Boundaries unchanged in 2023Length of the ballotArea, largest first
One of 343The Political Record
A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.
Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.
Open a neighbour to collect the next one.