The Political RecordFederal electoral districtsNo. 35047Ontario

King—Vaughan

King—Vaughan is a federal riding in Ontario. Anna Roberts (Conservative, first elected to the House in 2021) represents King—Vaughan. Anna Roberts (Conservative) held King—Vaughan for the Conservatives in the 2025 election by 17,330 votes (25.6 points), with 61.5% of the vote. Mubarak Ahmed (Liberal) was second with 35.9%, on a turnout of 71.2% of 96,019 electors. Member as of 2026-11-01.

Fig. 1 — King—Vaughan on the board, 2023 boundaries; the ridings next door as the House holds them on 2026-11-01. Open it on the board →

Who represents King—Vaughan

Anna Roberts's piece from the board. Illustration after the official portrait © House of Commons.

Anna Roberts

Member of Parliament for King—Vaughan

Conservative

MP since 2021-09-20 · 2 terms

Status of Women committee
Subcommittee on Agenda and Procedure

101 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Business of Supply — Main Estimates and Supplementary Estimates (A), 2025-26.

Contact and office · House of Commons →

The 2025 result: Conservative hold

Share of the valid votes by candidate, King—Vaughan, April 28, 2025

Shares of the 67,747 valid votes; a candidate under 1% is counted with the others. Source: Elections Canada, official voting results, the 2025 general election.

The figures

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Anna Roberts	Conservative	41,682	61.5%
Mubarak Ahmed	Liberal	24,352	35.9%
Samantha Sanchez	New Democratic	769	1.1%
Others (2)		944	1.4%

Anna Roberts (Conservative) won King—Vaughan on April 28, 2025 with 41,682 votes, 61.5% of the 67,747 valid votes. Mubarak Ahmed (Liberal) was second with 24,352 (35.9%), 17,330 votes and 25.6 points behind.

Of the 67,747 valid votes, Anna Roberts (Conservative) took 61.5%, Mubarak Ahmed (Liberal) 35.9% and Samantha Sanchez (New Democratic) 1.1%; the 2 other candidates took 1.4% together. Turnout was 71.2% of 96,019 electors: 68,331 ballots cast, 67,747 of them valid, for 5 candidates.

Since 2021

Against the 2021 result on these boundaries, the Conservatives are up 17.0 (44.5% to 61.5%), the Liberals down 6.7 (42.6% to 35.9%) and the New Democrats down 5.5 (6.6% to 1.1%), in points of the valid votes.

2021 is Elections Canada's transposition of that election onto the 2023 boundaries, not an election held on these lines.

Since 2004: no party has held it

The party first in King—Vaughan at each general election, 2004 to 2025, on today's boundaries

2004Liberal60.2%by 34.2 points over the Conservatives
2006Liberal56.7%by 27.7 points over the Conservatives
2008Liberal47.2%by 10.9 points over the Conservatives
2011changed handsConservative55.3%by 26.0 points over the Liberals
2015changed handsLiberal47.3%by 2.9 points over the Conservatives
2019†Liberal44.8%by 1.5 points over the Conservatives
2021changed handsConservative44.5%by 2.0 points over the Liberals
2025Conservative61.5%by 25.6 points over the Liberals

Each election carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate to 2019, Elections Canada's transposition for 2021, the official result for 2025. Parties are counted as they ran. † The first two are within two points, so which party was first is less certain.

The figures

Year	First	Share	Second	Margin (pts)	Basis
2004	Liberal	60.2%	Conservative	34.2	carried, our estimate
2006	Liberal	56.7%	Conservative	27.7	carried, our estimate
2008	Liberal	47.2%	Conservative	10.9	carried, our estimate
2011	Conservative	55.3%	Liberal	26.0	carried, our estimate
2015	Liberal	47.3%	Conservative	2.9	carried, our estimate
2019†	Liberal	44.8%	Conservative	1.5	carried, our estimate
2021	Conservative	44.5%	Liberal	2.0	transposed by Elections Canada
2025	Conservative	61.5%	Liberal	25.6	official result

The Liberals were first at five of the eight general elections from 2004 to 2025, the Conservatives at three; it changed hands three times. In 2025 the Conservatives took 61.5% of the vote here, 21.7 points above their average of 39.8% at the seven general elections from 2004 to 2021.

On today's boundaries the Liberals were first here in 2004 (60.2%), 2006 (56.7%), 2008 (47.2%), 2015 (47.3%) and 2019 (44.8%) and the Conservatives in 2011 (55.3%), 2021 (44.5%) and 2025 (61.5%), each with the share of the valid votes shown.

A stronghold is a party first at every general election since 2004, by an average of 20 points or more over the next party; held, first at every one; usually, first at all but one. By-elections are not counted. By this rule 160 of the 343 ridings have no degree. The results before 2021 are carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate, from the older boundaries of Taylor, Lucas, Kirby and Hewitt and the results in Sevi's "Who Runs?". 2021 is Elections Canada's transposition, and 2025 the official result. In 2019 the carried top two are within two points, so which party was first is less certain.

Before 2025

2021 Conservative · Anna Roberts, by 1,076 votes (2.2 pts)
2019 Liberal · Deb Schulte, by 1,141 votes (1.8 pts)
2015 Liberal · Deb Schulte, by 1,738 votes (3.2 pts)

In the old King—Vaughan on the 2013 boundaries, the riding most of the 2025 electors in today's King—Vaughan lived in; Elections Canada's official results.

What kind of place King—Vaughan is

Population: 124,4002021 census
Area: 485km²
Density: 256people per km²
Electors: 96,019on the 2025 lists

Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings

2nd-highest household income
Median household income $137,000, 2nd highest of 343 (Median total household income, 2021 census)
5th-most home owners
88.0% of households own their home, 5th highest of 343 (Share of households that own their home, 2021 census)

Median total household income is $137,000 — about 1.6 times the median riding's $84,000.
highestlowest2nd highest of 343
Share of households that own their home is 88.0% — about 1.2 times the median riding's 71.4%.
highestlowest5th highest of 343
Share with French as a mother tongue is 0.6% — about 37 percent of the median riding's 1.6%.
highestlowest30th lowest of 343
Share who are immigrants is 41.7% — about 2.4 times the median riding's 17.3%.
highestlowest51st highest of 343
Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 43.3% — about 1.5 times the median riding's 28.2%.
highestlowest77th highest of 343
Median age is 40.0 — a little lower than the median riding's 41.6.
highestlowest116th lowest of 343

2021 Census on the 2023 boundaries; each rule places this riding among all 343. Density is the census population over the riding's area.

IDid this riding change?

Yes. 98% of the 2025 electors in today's King—Vaughan lived in the old King—Vaughan; by area, 10% of the riding came from other ridings.

Share of today's electorsFormer riding

98.3%King—Vaughan 89.8% of the area · 97% of it kept

1.1%York—Simcoe 10.0% of the area · 4% of it kept

0.3%Thornhill under 0.1% of the area · 0.2% of it kept

0.2%Vaughan—Woodbridge 0.2% of the area · 1% of it kept

How this is measured. Electors: the share of the current riding's 2025 ordinary-list electors who lived in each former riding, each 2025 polling division placed in the 2013 riding a point inside it falls in. Area: the share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files, and how much of the former riding that part was. Area is land, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

Candidate	Party	Votes	%	2021	±
Anna Roberts	Conservative	41,682	61.5%	44.5%	+17.0
Mubarak Ahmed	Liberal	24,352	35.9%	42.6%	−6.7
Samantha Sanchez	New Democratic	769	1.1%	6.6%	−5.5

2 further candidates, each under 1% of the vote

Ann Raney	Green	576	0.9%
Vageesh Sabharwal	People's	368	0.5%

The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Third place vs. the margin

769 votes

New Democratic took fewer than the 17,330-vote margin.

Election-day polls won by others

15 of 203

1 poll ended in an exact tie.

Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Conservatives (187) · ■ won by another party (15) · ▨ tied (1).

Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 8,666 voters switching from Conservative to Liberal — 12.8% of the 67,747 valid votes, 12.8 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Voters who switch: 0017,332

Conservative41,682

Liberal24,352

Still Conservative by 17,330 votes. Actual margin: 17,330.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 52.5% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.

On election day the Conservatives took 63.1%, the Liberals 33.9%, the New Democrats 1.4% and the Greens 1.0%; in advance and special ballots, 59.8%, 38.3%, 0.9% and 0.7%, in that order.

Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, King—Vaughan, April 28, 2025

Shares of the valid votes cast at election-day polls, and of those cast at advance polls, at mobile polls and by special ballot; the gap is the second less the first, in points. Source: Elections Canada, poll-by-poll results, the 2025 general election.

The figures

Party	Election day	Advance and special	Gap
Conservative	63.1%	59.8%	−3.3
Liberal	33.9%	38.3%	+4.4
New Democratic	1.4%	0.9%	−0.5
Green	1.0%	0.7%	−0.3

An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhere it is

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Fig. 3 — King—Vaughan and its 8 neighbouring ridings.

Sources and citation

"King—Vaughan — federal riding profile and 2025 results."
The Political Record. https://politicalrecord.ca/riding/king-vaughan/
Accessed 2026-11-10.

Results and transposition: Elections Canada. Boundaries: Elections Canada / Statistics Canada, Open Government Licence – Canada. Census: Statistics Canada 2021 Census. Member: House of Commons.

Figures reconcile to the certified national total of 19,641,663 votes. The member is as the House of Commons listed them on 2026-11-01. Page built 2026-11-10.