The Political RecordFederal electoral districtsNo. 35089Ontario

Richmond Hill South

Name: 2025 Canadian federal election in Richmond Hill South
Start: 2025-04-28
End: 2025-04-28

Richmond Hill-Sud

Richmond Hill South is a federal riding in Ontario. Vincent Ho (Conservative) has represented Richmond Hill South since the 2025 election. Vincent Ho (Conservative) took Richmond Hill South from the Liberals in the 2025 election by 4,606 votes (7.9 points), with 52.3% of the vote. Majid Jowhari (Liberal) was second with 44.4%, on a turnout of 63.0% of 93,862 electors. Member as of 2026-11-01.

Fig. 1 — Richmond Hill South on the board, 2023 boundaries; the ridings next door as the House holds them on 2026-11-01. Open it on the board →

Who represents Richmond Hill South

Vincent Ho's piece from the board. Illustration after the official portrait © House of Commons.

Vincent Ho

Member of Parliament for Richmond Hill South

Conservative

MP since 2025-04-28 · first term

Science and Research committee

155 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Housing.

Contact and office · House of Commons →

The 2025 result: Conservative gain from the Liberals

Share of the valid votes by candidate, Richmond Hill South, April 28, 2025

Shares of the 58,584 valid votes; a candidate under 1% is counted with the others. Source: Elections Canada, official voting results, the 2025 general election.

The figures

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Vincent Ho	Conservative	30,615	52.3%
Majid Jowhari	Liberal	26,009	44.4%
Ebrahim Astaraki	New Democratic	1,054	1.8%
Others (4)		906	1.5%

Vincent Ho (Conservative) won Richmond Hill South on April 28, 2025 with 30,615 votes, 52.3% of the 58,584 valid votes. Majid Jowhari (Liberal) was second with 26,009 (44.4%), 4,606 votes and 7.9 points behind.

Of the 58,584 valid votes, Vincent Ho (Conservative) took 52.3%, Majid Jowhari (Liberal) 44.4% and Ebrahim Astaraki (New Democratic) 1.8%; the 4 other candidates took 1.5% together. Turnout was 63.0% of 93,862 electors: 59,115 ballots cast, 58,584 of them valid, for 7 candidates.

Since 2021

Against the 2021 result on these boundaries, the Conservatives are up 14.0 (38.3% to 52.3%), the Liberals down 2.9 (47.3% to 44.4%) and the New Democrats down 6.9 (8.7% to 1.8%), in points of the valid votes.

2021 is Elections Canada's transposition of that election onto the 2023 boundaries, not an election held on these lines.

Since 2004: no party has held it

The party first in Richmond Hill South at each general election, 2004 to 2025, on today's boundaries

2004Liberal58.3%by 32.9 points over the Conservatives
2006Liberal53.6%by 21.6 points over the Conservatives
2008Liberal46.6%by 10.3 points over the Conservatives
2011changed handsConservative45.0%by 10.3 points over the Liberals
2015changed handsLiberal46.9%by 3.5 points over the Conservatives
2019†Liberal43.4%by 0.2 points over the Conservatives
2021Liberal47.3%by 9.0 points over the Conservatives
2025changed handsConservative52.3%by 7.9 points over the Liberals

Each election carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate to 2019, Elections Canada's transposition for 2021, the official result for 2025. Parties are counted as they ran. † The first two are within two points, so which party was first is less certain.

The figures

Year	First	Share	Second	Margin (pts)	Basis
2004	Liberal	58.3%	Conservative	32.9	carried, our estimate
2006	Liberal	53.6%	Conservative	21.6	carried, our estimate
2008	Liberal	46.6%	Conservative	10.3	carried, our estimate
2011	Conservative	45.0%	Liberal	10.3	carried, our estimate
2015	Liberal	46.9%	Conservative	3.5	carried, our estimate
2019†	Liberal	43.4%	Conservative	0.2	carried, our estimate
2021	Liberal	47.3%	Conservative	9.0	transposed by Elections Canada
2025	Conservative	52.3%	Liberal	7.9	official result

The Liberals were first at six of the eight general elections from 2004 to 2025, the Conservatives at two; it changed hands three times. In 2025 the Conservatives took 52.3% of the vote here, 14.6 points above their average of 37.7% at the seven general elections from 2004 to 2021.

On today's boundaries the Liberals were first here in 2004 (58.3%), 2006 (53.6%), 2008 (46.6%), 2015 (46.9%), 2019 (43.4%) and 2021 (47.3%) and the Conservatives in 2011 (45.0%) and 2025 (52.3%), each with the share of the valid votes shown.

A stronghold is a party first at every general election since 2004, by an average of 20 points or more over the next party; held, first at every one; usually, first at all but one. By-elections are not counted. By this rule 160 of the 343 ridings have no degree. The results before 2021 are carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate, from the older boundaries of Taylor, Lucas, Kirby and Hewitt and the results in Sevi's "Who Runs?". 2021 is Elections Canada's transposition, and 2025 the official result. In 2019 the carried top two are within two points, so which party was first is less certain.

Before 2025

2021 Liberal · Majid Jowhari, by 4,069 votes (8.9 pts)
2019 Liberal · Majid Jowhari, by 212 votes (0.4 pts)
2015 Liberal · Majid Jowhari, by 1,757 votes (3.6 pts)

In Richmond Hill on the 2013 boundaries, the riding most of the 2025 electors in today's Richmond Hill South lived in; Elections Canada's official results.

What kind of place Richmond Hill South is

Population: 124,7452021 census
Area: 47km²
Density: 2,683people per km²
Electors: 93,862on the 2025 lists

Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings

8th-largest immigrant share
60.0% are immigrants, 8th highest of 343 (Share who are immigrants, 2021 census)
Changed hands in 2025
One of 58 of 343 ridings where the winning party changed from the transposed 2021 result (21 of 122 in Ontario)

Share who are immigrants is 60.0% — about 3.5 times the median riding's 17.3%.
highestlowest8th highest of 343
Share with French as a mother tongue is 0.5% — about 31 percent of the median riding's 1.6%.
highestlowest20th lowest of 343
Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 55.4% — about 2.0 times the median riding's 28.2%.
highestlowest28th highest of 343
Median age is 45.2 — a little higher than the median riding's 41.6.
highestlowest78th highest of 343
Median total household income is $89,000 — a little higher than the median riding's $84,000.
highestlowest122nd highest of 343
Share of households that own their home is 73.4% — about the same as the median riding's 71.4%.
highestlowest142nd highest of 343

2021 Census on the 2023 boundaries; each rule places this riding among all 343. Density is the census population over the riding's area.

IDid this riding change?

Yes. 92% of the 2025 electors in today's Richmond Hill South lived in the old Richmond Hill; by area, 10% of the riding came from other ridings.

Share of today's electorsFormer riding

91.7%Richmond Hill 89.9% of the area

8.3%Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill 10.1% of the area · 5% of it kept

How this is measured. Electors: the share of the current riding's 2025 ordinary-list electors who lived in each former riding, each 2025 polling division placed in the 2013 riding a point inside it falls in. Area: the share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files, and how much of the former riding that part was. Area is land, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

Candidate	Party	Votes	%	2021	±
Vincent Ho	Conservative	30,615	52.3%	38.3%	+14.0
Majid Jowhari	Liberal	26,009	44.4%	47.3%	−2.9
Ebrahim Astaraki	New Democratic	1,054	1.8%	8.7%	−6.9

4 further candidates, each under 1% of the vote

Alison Lam	Green	495	0.8%
Joshua Sideris	People's	244	0.4%
Yan Wang	Independent	124	0.2%
Juni Yeung	Other	43	0.1%

The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Third place vs. the margin

1,054 votes

New Democratic took fewer than the 4,606-vote margin.

Election-day polls won by others

44 of 232

5 polls ended in an exact tie.

Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Conservatives (183) · ■ won by another party (44) · ▨ tied (5).

Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 2,304 voters switching from Conservative to Liberal — 3.9% of the 58,584 valid votes, 4.0 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Voters who switch: 004,608

Conservative30,615

Liberal26,009

Still Conservative by 4,606 votes. Actual margin: 4,606.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 55.4% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.

On election day the Conservatives took 53.9%, the Liberals 42.1% and the New Democrats 2.1%; in advance and special ballots, 50.2%, 47.2% and 1.4%, in that order.

Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, Richmond Hill South, April 28, 2025

Shares of the valid votes cast at election-day polls, and of those cast at advance polls, at mobile polls and by special ballot; the gap is the second less the first, in points. Source: Elections Canada, poll-by-poll results, the 2025 general election.

The figures

Party	Election day	Advance and special	Gap
Conservative	53.9%	50.2%	−3.7
Liberal	42.1%	47.2%	+5.1
New Democratic	2.1%	1.4%	−0.7

An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhere it is

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Fig. 3 — Richmond Hill South and its 5 neighbouring ridings.

Sources and citation

"Richmond Hill South — federal riding profile and 2025 results."
The Political Record. https://politicalrecord.ca/riding/richmond-hill-south/
Accessed 2026-11-10.

Results and transposition: Elections Canada. Boundaries: Elections Canada / Statistics Canada, Open Government Licence – Canada. Census: Statistics Canada 2021 Census. Member: House of Commons.

Figures reconcile to the certified national total of 19,641,663 votes. The member is as the House of Commons listed them on 2026-11-01. Page built 2026-11-10.