Conservative · first elected 2025-04-28 · first term
Member: Science and Research
139 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Business of Supply — Opposition Motion—Food Inflation and Budgetary Policy — Opposition Motion—Canada Carbon Rebate and Payment to Quebec — Main Estimates and Supplementary Estimates (A), 2025-26.
IDid this riding change?
Yes. 10% of today's Richmond Hill South came from ridings other than the old Richmond Hill.
Share of today's areaFormer riding
89.9%Richmond Hill
10.1%Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill 5% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.
IIThe 2025 result
Conservative gain
Elected
Vincent Ho
Conservative
30,615
52.3% of valid votes
Margin
4,606
votes · +7.9 pts
Runner-up
Majid Jowhari
Liberal
26,009
44.4% of valid votes
Conservative 52.3% · Liberal 44.4% · New Democratic 1.8%
Turnout63.0% of 93,862 electors
Candidate
Party
Votes
%
2021
±
Vincent Ho
Conservative
30,615
52.3%
38.3%
+14.0
Majid Jowhari
Liberal
26,009
44.4%
47.3%
−2.9
Ebrahim Astaraki
New Democratic
1,054
1.8%
8.7%
−6.9
4 further candidates, each under 1% of the vote
Alison Lam
Green
495
0.8%
Joshua Sideris
People's
244
0.4%
Yan Wang
Independent
124
0.2%
Juni Yeung
Other
43
0.1%
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.
IIIHow close was it, really
Swing needed to flip
4.0 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
1,054 votes
New Democratic took fewer than the 4,606-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
44 of 232
5 polls ended in an exact tie.
Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Conservatives (183) · ■ won by another party (44) · ▨ tied (5).
Flip the seatHypothetical
It would have taken 2,304 voters switching from Conservative to Liberal — 3.9% of the 58,584 valid votes, 4.0 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.
Conservative30,615
Liberal26,009
Still Conservative by 4,606 votes. Actual margin: 4,606.
IVElection day versus advance
Only 55.4% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.
Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Conservative53.9%50.2%−3.7
Liberal42.1%47.2%+5.1
New Democratic2.1%1.4%−0.7
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.
VWhat kind of place this is
Median total household income is $89,000 — a little higher than the median riding's $84,000.
highestlowest122nd highest of 343
Median age is 45.2 — a little higher than the median riding's 41.6.
highestlowest78th highest of 343
Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 55.4% — about 2.0 times the median riding's 28.2%.
highestlowest28th highest of 343
Share who are immigrants is 60.0% — about 3.5 times the median riding's 17.3%.
highestlowest8th highest of 343
Share of households that own their home is 73.4% — about the same as the median riding's 71.4%.
highestlowest142nd highest of 343
Share with French as a mother tongue is 0.5% — about 31 percent of the median riding's 1.6%.
highestlowest20th lowest of 343
2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.
VIWhere it is
loading basemap…
Fig. 3 — Richmond Hill South and its 5 neighbouring ridings.
Largest immigrant shareChanged hands in 2025Length of the ballot
One of 343The Political Record
A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.
Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.