The Political Record · Federal electoral districts

Richmond Hill South

Richmond Hill-Sud
Federal riding · ON · No. 35089 · 2023 representation order
Fig. 1 — Richmond Hill South, 2023 boundaries.
Member
Vincent Ho Conservative
2025 result
Conservative gain by 4,606 votes
Turnout
63.0% of 93,862 electors
Population
124,745 2021 census
Area
47 km²
Figures as of
2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
  • Largest immigrant share: 60.0% are immigrants, 8th highest of 343 (Share who are immigrants, 2021 census)8th
    Largest immigrant share
    60.0% are immigrants, 8th highest of 343 (Share who are immigrants, 2021 census)
  • Changed hands in 2025: One of 58 of 343 ridings where the winning party changed from the transposed 2021 result (21 of 122 in Ontario)58
    Changed hands in 2025
    One of 58 of 343 ridings where the winning party changed from the transposed 2021 result (21 of 122 in Ontario)
  • Length of the ballot: 7 candidates stood · 24th of 343 in Canada24th
    Length of the ballot
    7 candidates stood · 24th of 343 in Canada
In brief
  1. Vincent Ho took the seat for the Conservatives by 4,606 votes (+7.9 points).
  2. 10% of today's riding was drawn from other ridings in 2023.
  3. Election-day and advance voters agreed on the winner; 55.4% of votes were cast on the day.
  4. Share who are immigrants is the 8th highest of 343 ridings.
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
Vincent Ho
Conservative · first elected 2025-04-28 · first term
  • Member: Science and Research
139 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Business of Supply — Opposition Motion—Food Inflation and Budgetary Policy — Opposition Motion—Canada Carbon Rebate and Payment to Quebec — Main Estimates and Supplementary Estimates (A), 2025-26.

IDid this riding change?

Yes. 10% of today's Richmond Hill South came from ridings other than the old Richmond Hill.

Share of today's areaFormer riding
89.9%Richmond Hill
10.1%Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill 5% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

Conservative gain
Elected
Vincent Ho
Conservative
30,615
52.3% of valid votes
Margin
4,606
votes · +7.9 pts
Runner-up
Majid Jowhari
Liberal
26,009
44.4% of valid votes
Conservative 52.3% · Liberal 44.4% · New Democratic 1.8%
Turnout63.0% of 93,862 electors
CandidatePartyVotes%2021±
Vincent HoConservative30,61552.3%38.3%+14.0
Majid JowhariLiberal26,00944.4%47.3%−2.9
Ebrahim AstarakiNew Democratic1,0541.8%8.7%−6.9
4 further candidates, each under 1% of the vote
Alison LamGreen4950.8%
Joshua SiderisPeople's2440.4%
Yan WangIndependent1240.2%
Juni YeungOther430.1%
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Swing needed to flip
4.0 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
1,054 votes
New Democratic took fewer than the 4,606-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
44 of 232
5 polls ended in an exact tie.
Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Conservatives (183) · ■ won by another party (44) · ▨ tied (5).
Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 2,304 voters switching from Conservative to Liberal — 3.9% of the 58,584 valid votes, 4.0 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Conservative30,615
Liberal26,009
Still Conservative by 4,606 votes. Actual margin: 4,606.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 55.4% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.

Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Conservative53.9%50.2%−3.7
Liberal42.1%47.2%+5.1
New Democratic2.1%1.4%−0.7
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhat kind of place this is

2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.

VIWhere it is

loading basemap…
Fig. 3 — Richmond Hill South and its 5 neighbouring ridings.

The card

No. 35089ON · 2025
Richmond Hill South
Vincent Ho
Result
Conservative gain by 4,606
Turnout
63.0%
Population
124,745
Area
47 km²
Largest immigrant share: 60.0% are immigrants, 8th highest of 343 (Share who are immigrants, 2021 census)8thLargest immigrant shareChanged hands in 2025: One of 58 of 343 ridings where the winning party changed from the transposed 2021 result (21 of 122 in Ontario)58Changed hands in 2025Length of the ballot: 7 candidates stood · 24th of 343 in Canada24thLength of the ballot
One of 343The Political Record

A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.

Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.

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