The Political RecordFederal electoral districtsNo. 35057Ontario
Markham— Thornhill
Markham—
Who represents Markham— Thornhill
Tim Hodgson
Member of Parliament for Markham—
Liberal
MP since · first term
- Minister of Energy and Natural Resources
437 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Business of Supply — Main Estimates and Supplementary Estimates (A), 2025-26.
The 2025 result: Liberal hold
Share of the valid votes by candidate, Markham—Thornhill, April 28, 2025
The figures
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hodgson | Liberal | 27,504 | 54.5% |
| Lionel Loganathan | Conservative | 21,003 | 41.6% |
| Aftab Qureshi | New Democratic | 1,022 | 2.0% |
| Mimi Lee | People's Party | 747 | 1.5% |
| Other (1) | 153 | 0.3% |
Tim Hodgson (Liberal) won Markham—
Of the 50,429 valid votes, Tim Hodgson (Liberal) took 54.5%, Lionel Loganathan (Conservative) 41.6%, Aftab Qureshi (New Democratic) 2.0% and Mimi Lee (People's Party) 1.5%; one other candidate took 0.3%. Turnout was 63.6% of 79,714 electors: 50,734 ballots cast, 50,429 of them valid, for 5 candidates.
Against the 2021 result on these boundaries, the Liberals are down 6.4 (60.9% to 54.5%), the Conservatives up 15.5 (26.1% to 41.6%), the New Democrats down 6.3 (8.3% to 2.0%) and the People's Party down 0.2 (1.7% to 1.5%), in points of the valid votes.
2021 is Elections Canada's transposition of that election onto the 2023 boundaries, not an election held on these lines.
Since 2004: usually Liberal
The party first in Markham—Thornhill at each general election, 2004 to 2025, on today's boundaries
- 2004Liberal62.1%by 35.7 points over the Conservatives
- 2006Liberal58.4%by 28.9 points over the Conservatives
- 2008Liberal50.0%by 14.1 points over the Conservatives
- 2011changed handsConservative43.3%by 9.1 points over the Liberals
- 2015changed handsLiberal54.9%by 21.2 points over the Conservatives
- 2019Liberal52.0%by 17.9 points over the Conservatives
- 2021Liberal60.9%by 34.8 points over the Conservatives
- 2025Liberal54.5%by 12.9 points over the Conservatives
The figures
| Year | First | Share | Second | Margin (pts) | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | Liberal | 62.1% | Conservative | 35.7 | carried, our estimate |
| 2006 | Liberal | 58.4% | Conservative | 28.9 | carried, our estimate |
| 2008 | Liberal | 50.0% | Conservative | 14.1 | carried, our estimate |
| 2011 | Conservative | 43.3% | Liberal | 9.1 | carried, our estimate |
| 2015 | Liberal | 54.9% | Conservative | 21.2 | carried, our estimate |
| 2019 | Liberal | 52.0% | Conservative | 17.9 | carried, our estimate |
| 2021 | Liberal | 60.9% | Conservative | 34.8 | transposed by Elections Canada |
| 2025 | Liberal | 54.5% | Conservative | 12.9 | official result |
The Liberals were first here at seven of the eight general elections from 2004 to 2025; the Conservatives were first in 2011. In 2025 the Liberals took 54.5% of the vote here, 1.3 points above their average of 53.2% at the seven general elections from 2004 to 2021.
On today's boundaries the Liberals were first here in 2004 (62.1%), 2006 (58.4%), 2008 (50.0%), 2015 (54.9%), 2019 (52.0%), 2021 (60.9%) and 2025 (54.5%) and the Conservatives in 2011 (43.3%), each with the share of the valid votes shown.
A stronghold is a party first at every general election since 2004, by an average of 20 points or more over the next party; held, first at every one; usually, first at all but one. By-elections are not counted. By this rule 83 of the 343 ridings are usually one party's. The results before 2021 are carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate, from the older boundaries of Taylor, Lucas, Kirby and Hewitt and the results in Sevi's "Who Runs?". 2021 is Elections Canada's transposition, and 2025 the official result.
- 2021 Liberal · Mary Ng, by 13,573 votes (35.2 pts)
- 2019 Liberal · Mary Ng, by 8,580 votes (19.3 pts)
- 2015 Liberal · John McCallum, by 10,029 votes (23.4 pts)
In the old Markham—Thornhill on the 2013 boundaries, the riding most of the 2025 electors in today's Markham—Thornhill lived in; Elections Canada's official results.
What kind of place Markham— Thornhill is
- Population
- 111,0852021 census
- Area
- 62km²
- Density
- 1,803people per km²
- Electors
- 79,714on the 2025 lists
- 3rd-largest immigrant share62.1% are immigrants, 3rd highest of 343 (Share who are immigrants, 2021 census)
- 3rd-smallest Indigenous share0.1% report an Indigenous identity, 3rd lowest of 343 (Share with an Indigenous identity, 2021 census)
- 7th-least French mother tongue0.3% have French as a mother tongue, 7th lowest of 343 (Share with French as a mother tongue, 2021 census)
- Share who are immigrants is 62.1% — about 3.6 times the median riding's 17.3%.highestlowest3rd highest of 343
- Share with French as a mother tongue is 0.3% — about 19 percent of the median riding's 1.6%.highestlowest7th lowest of 343
- Share of households that own their home is 84.9% — about 1.2 times the median riding's 71.4%.highestlowest16th highest of 343
- Median total household income is $106,000 — about 1.3 times the median riding's $84,000.highestlowest44th highest of 343
- Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 39.4% — about 1.4 times the median riding's 28.2%.highestlowest103rd highest of 343
- Median age is 43.2 — a little higher than the median riding's 41.6.highestlowest118th highest of 343
2021 Census on the 2023 boundaries; each rule places this riding among all 343. Density is the census population over the riding's area.
IDid this riding change?
Yes. 87% of the 2025 electors in today's Markham—Thornhill lived in the old Markham—Thornhill; by area, 29% of the riding came from other ridings.
IIThe 2025 result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | 2021 | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hodgson | Liberal | 27,504 | 54.5% | 60.9% | −6.4 |
| Lionel Loganathan | Conservative | 21,003 | 41.6% | 26.1% | +15.5 |
| Aftab Qureshi | New Democratic | 1,022 | 2.0% | 8.3% | −6.3 |
| Mimi Lee | People's | 747 | 1.5% | 1.7% | −0.2 |
1 further candidate, under 1% of the vote
| Haider Qureshi | Other | 153 | 0.3% |
IIIHow close was it, really
It would have taken 3,251 voters switching from Liberal to Conservative — 6.4% of the 50,429 valid votes, 6.5 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.
IVElection day versus advance
Only 57.7% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.
On election day the Liberals took 51.7%, the Conservatives 43.9%, the New Democrats 2.4% and the People's Party 1.8%; in advance and special ballots, 58.5%, 38.6%, 1.6% and 1.1%, in that order.
Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, Markham—Thornhill, April 28, 2025
The figures
| Party | Election day | Advance and special | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liberal | 51.7% | 58.5% | +6.8 |
| Conservative | 43.9% | 38.6% | −5.3 |
| New Democratic | 2.4% | 1.6% | −0.8 |
| People's Party | 1.8% | 1.1% | −0.7 |