The Political Record · Federal electoral districts

Scarborough—Agincourt

Federal riding · ON · No. 35092 · 2023 representation order
Fig. 1 — Scarborough—Agincourt, 2023 boundaries.
Member
Jean Yip Liberal
2025 result
Liberal hold by 5,820 votes
Turnout
60.8% of 84,229 electors
Population
123,975 2021 census
Area
28 km²
Figures as of
2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
  • Largest immigrant share: 63.0% are immigrants, 2nd highest of 343 (Share who are immigrants, 2021 census)2nd
    Largest immigrant share
    63.0% are immigrants, 2nd highest of 343 (Share who are immigrants, 2021 census)
  • Area, smallest first: 28 km² · 28th of 343 in Canada28th
    Area, smallest first
    28 km² · 28th of 343 in Canada
  • Turnout, lowest first: 60.8% of 84,229 electors voted · 30th of 343 in Canada30th
    Turnout, lowest first
    60.8% of 84,229 electors voted · 30th of 343 in Canada
In brief
  1. Jean Yip held the seat for the Liberals by 5,820 votes (+11.5 points).
  2. 20% of today's riding was drawn from other ridings in 2023.
  3. Election-day and advance voters agreed on the winner; 57.7% of votes were cast on the day.
  4. Share who are immigrants is the 2nd highest of 343 ridings.
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
Jean Yip
Liberal · first elected 2017-12-11 · 4 terms
  • Member: Public Accounts
  • Vice-Chair: Public Accounts
13 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Canadian Identity and Culture.

IDid this riding change?

Yes. 20% of today's Scarborough—Agincourt came from ridings other than the old Scarborough—Agincourt.

Share of today's areaFormer riding
80.5%Scarborough—Agincourt
19.5%Don Valley North 21% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

Liberal hold
Elected
Jean Yip
Liberal
27,552
54.3% of valid votes
Margin
5,820
votes · +11.5 pts
Runner-up
Aris Movsessian
Conservative
21,732
42.8% of valid votes
Liberal 54.3% · Conservative 42.8% · New Democratic 2.9%
Turnout60.8% of 84,229 electors
CandidatePartyVotes%2021±
Jean YipLiberal27,55254.3%55.6%−1.3
Aris MovsessianConservative21,73242.8%28.9%+13.9
Dan LovellNew Democratic1,4492.9%10.0%−7.1
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Swing needed to flip
5.8 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
1,449 votes
New Democratic took fewer than the 5,820-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
63 of 184
3 polls ended in an exact tie.
Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Liberals (118) · ■ won by another party (63) · ▨ tied (3).
Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 2,911 voters switching from Liberal to Conservative — 5.7% of the 50,733 valid votes, 5.8 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Liberal27,552
Conservative21,732
Still Liberal by 5,820 votes. Actual margin: 5,820.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 57.7% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.

Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Liberal51.2%58.6%+7.4
Conservative45.7%38.9%−6.8
New Democratic3.1%2.5%−0.6
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhat kind of place this is

2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.

VIWhere it is

loading basemap…
Fig. 3 — Scarborough—Agincourt and its 4 neighbouring ridings.

The card

No. 35092ON · 2025
Scarborough—Agincourt
Jean Yip
Result
Liberal hold by 5,820
Turnout
60.8%
Population
123,975
Area
28 km²
Largest immigrant share: 63.0% are immigrants, 2nd highest of 343 (Share who are immigrants, 2021 census)2ndLargest immigrant shareArea, smallest first: 28 km² · 28th of 343 in Canada28thArea, smallest firstTurnout, lowest first: 60.8% of 84,229 electors voted · 30th of 343 in Canada30thTurnout, lowest first
One of 343The Political Record

A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.

Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.

Open a neighbour to collect the next one.