The Political Record · Federal electoral districts
Pickering—Brooklin
Federal riding · ON · No. 35087 · 2023 representation order
- Member
- Juanita Nathan Liberal
- 2025 result
- Liberal hold by 9,258 votes
- Turnout
- 70.4% of 101,706 electors
- Population
- 122,435 2021 census
- Area
- 307 km²
- Figures as of
- 2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
- Most home owners86.7% of households own their home, 8th highest of 343 (Share of households that own their home, 2021 census)
- Population, largest first122,435 people, 2021 census · 42nd of 343 in Canada
- Length of the ballot6 candidates stood · 61st of 343 in Canada
In brief
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
Juanita Nathan
- Member: Science and Research
- Member: Status of Women
IDid this riding change?
Yes. 20% of today's Pickering—Brooklin came from ridings other than the old Pickering—Uxbridge.
Share of today's areaFormer riding
80.0%Pickering—Uxbridge 36% of it kept
20.0%Whitby 40% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.
IIThe 2025 result
Liberal hold
Elected
Juanita Nathan
Liberal
38,578
54.2% of valid votes
Margin
9,258
votes · +13.0 pts
Runner-up
Alicia Vianga
Conservative
29,320
41.2% of valid votes
Liberal 54.2% · Conservative 41.2% · New Democratic 2.6%
Turnout70.4% of 101,706 electors
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | 2021 | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juanita Nathan | Liberal | 38,578 | 54.2% | 47.9% | +6.3 |
| Alicia Vianga | Conservative | 29,320 | 41.2% | 34.1% | +7.1 |
| Jamie Nye | New Democratic | 1,838 | 2.6% | 13.4% | −10.8 |
3 further candidates, each under 1% of the vote
| Lisa Robinson | People's | 639 | 0.9% |
| Andrea Wood | Green | 535 | 0.8% |
| Zainab Rana | Other | 322 | 0.5% |
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.
IIIHow close was it, really
Swing needed to flip
6.5 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
1,838 votes
New Democratic took fewer than the 9,258-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
56 of 215
3 polls ended in an exact tie.
Flip the seatHypothetical
It would have taken 4,630 voters switching from Liberal to Conservative — 6.5% of the 71,232 valid votes, 6.5 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.
Liberal38,578
Conservative29,320
Still Liberal by 9,258 votes. Actual margin: 9,258.
IVElection day versus advance
Only 55.6% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.
Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Liberal51.4%57.7%+6.3
Conservative43.0%38.8%−4.2
New Democratic3.0%2.0%−1.0
People's1.2%0.6%−0.6
Green0.9%0.6%−0.3
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.
VWhat kind of place this is
- Median total household income is $124,000 — about 1.5 times the median riding's $84,000.highestlowest11th highest of 343
- Median age is 40.0 — a little lower than the median riding's 41.6.highestlowest116th lowest of 343
- Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 38.8% — about 1.4 times the median riding's 28.2%.highestlowest108th highest of 343
- Share who are immigrants is 32.4% — about 1.9 times the median riding's 17.3%.highestlowest92nd highest of 343
- Share of households that own their home is 86.7% — about 1.2 times the median riding's 71.4%.highestlowest8th highest of 343
- Share with French as a mother tongue is 1.1% — about 69 percent of the median riding's 1.6%.highestlowest112th lowest of 343
2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.
VIWhere it is
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The card
No. 35087ON · 2025
Pickering—Brooklin
Juanita Nathan
- Result
- Liberal hold by 9,258
- Turnout
- 70.4%
- Population
- 122,435
- Area
- 307 km²
Most home ownersPopulation, largest firstLength of the ballot
One of 343The Political Record
A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.
Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.
Open a neighbour to collect the next one.