The Political RecordFederal electoral districtsNo. 35095Ontario

Scarborough North

Scarborough-Nord

Scarborough North is a federal riding in Ontario. The seat is vacant as of 2026-11-01. Shaun Chen (Liberal) held Scarborough North for the Liberals in the 2025 election by 13,931 votes (29.9 points), with 63.0% of the vote. Gurmit Sandhu (Conservative) was second with 33.1%, on a turnout of 60.0% of 78,591 electors.

Fig. 1 — Scarborough North on the board, 2023 boundaries; the ridings next door as the House holds them on 2026-11-01. Open it on the board →

Who represents Scarborough North

Vacant

No Member of Parliament for Scarborough North as of 2026-11-01, by the House of Commons list.

Shaun Chen (Liberal) won the seat in 2025.

The 2025 result: Liberal hold

Share of the valid votes by candidate, Scarborough North, April 28, 2025

Shares of the 46,732 valid votes; a candidate under 1% is counted with the others. Source: Elections Canada, official voting results, the 2025 general election.

The figures

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Shaun Chen	Liberal	29,418	63.0%
Gurmit Sandhu	Conservative	15,487	33.1%
Karishma Manji	New Democratic	1,827	3.9%

Shaun Chen (Liberal) won Scarborough North on April 28, 2025 with 29,418 votes, 63.0% of the 46,732 valid votes. Gurmit Sandhu (Conservative) was second with 15,487 (33.1%), 13,931 votes and 29.9 points behind.

Of the 46,732 valid votes, Shaun Chen (Liberal) took 63.0%, Gurmit Sandhu (Conservative) 33.1% and Karishma Manji (New Democratic) 3.9%. Turnout was 60.0% of 78,591 electors: 47,178 ballots cast, 46,732 of them valid, for 3 candidates.

Since 2021

Against the 2021 result on these boundaries, the Liberals are down 3.3 (66.3% to 63.0%), the Conservatives up 15.2 (17.9% to 33.1%) and the New Democrats down 7.6 (11.5% to 3.9%), in points of the valid votes.

2021 is Elections Canada's transposition of that election onto the 2023 boundaries, not an election held on these lines.

Since 2004: usually Liberal

The party first in Scarborough North at each general election, 2004 to 2025, on today's boundaries

2004Liberal58.3%by 41.5 points over the independents
2006Liberal65.4%by 44.8 points over the Conservatives
2008Liberal58.6%by 35.5 points over the Conservatives
2011changed handsNew Democratic39.2%by 9.1 points over the Conservatives
2015changed handsLiberal50.5%by 23.1 points over the Conservatives
2019Liberal55.3%by 27.0 points over the Conservatives
2021Liberal66.3%by 48.4 points over the Conservatives
2025Liberal63.0%by 29.9 points over the Conservatives

Each election carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate to 2019, Elections Canada's transposition for 2021, the official result for 2025. Parties are counted as they ran.

The figures

Year	First	Share	Second	Margin (pts)	Basis
2004	Liberal	58.3%	Independent	41.5	carried, our estimate
2006	Liberal	65.4%	Conservative	44.8	carried, our estimate
2008	Liberal	58.6%	Conservative	35.5	carried, our estimate
2011	New Democratic	39.2%	Conservative	9.1	carried, our estimate
2015	Liberal	50.5%	Conservative	23.1	carried, our estimate
2019	Liberal	55.3%	Conservative	27.0	carried, our estimate
2021	Liberal	66.3%	Conservative	48.4	transposed by Elections Canada
2025	Liberal	63.0%	Conservative	29.9	official result

The Liberals were first here at seven of the eight general elections from 2004 to 2025; the NDP were first in 2011. In 2025 the Liberals took 63.0% of the vote here, 8.3 points above their average of 54.7% at the seven general elections from 2004 to 2021.

On today's boundaries the Liberals were first here in 2004 (58.3%), 2006 (65.4%), 2008 (58.6%), 2015 (50.5%), 2019 (55.3%), 2021 (66.3%) and 2025 (63.0%) and the NDP in 2011 (39.2%), each with the share of the valid votes shown.

A stronghold is a party first at every general election since 2004, by an average of 20 points or more over the next party; held, first at every one; usually, first at all but one. By-elections are not counted. By this rule 83 of the 343 ridings are usually one party's. The results before 2021 are carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate, from the older boundaries of Taylor, Lucas, Kirby and Hewitt and the results in Sevi's "Who Runs?". 2021 is Elections Canada's transposition, and 2025 the official result.

Before 2025

2021 Liberal · Shaun Chen, by 15,179 votes (47.7 pts)
2019 Liberal · Shaun Chen, by 9,073 votes (23.3 pts)
2015 Liberal · Shaun Chen, by 8,167 votes (20.8 pts)

In the old Scarborough North on the 2013 boundaries, the riding most of the 2025 electors in today's Scarborough North lived in; Elections Canada's official results.

What kind of place Scarborough North is

Population: 116,1802021 census
Area: 36km²
Density: 3,209people per km²
Electors: 78,591on the 2025 lists

Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings

Largest immigrant share
64.0% are immigrants, the highest of 343 (Share who are immigrants, 2021 census)

Share who are immigrants is 64.0% — about 3.7 times the median riding's 17.3%.
highestlowest1st highest of 343
Share with French as a mother tongue is 0.4% — about 25 percent of the median riding's 1.6%.
highestlowest12th lowest of 343
Share of households that own their home is 77.5% — a little higher than the median riding's 71.4%.
highestlowest91st highest of 343
Median age is 42.8 — about the same as the median riding's 41.6.
highestlowest132nd highest of 343
Median total household income is $87,000 — a little higher than the median riding's $84,000.
highestlowest138th highest of 343
Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 31.7% — a little higher than the median riding's 28.2%.
highestlowest147th highest of 343

2021 Census on the 2023 boundaries; each rule places this riding among all 343. Density is the census population over the riding's area.

IDid this riding change?

Yes. 81% of the 2025 electors in today's Scarborough North lived in the old Scarborough North; by area, 12% of the riding came from other ridings.

Share of today's electorsFormer riding

80.5%Scarborough North 88.0% of the area

19.5%Scarborough—Rouge Park 12.0% of the area · 8% of it kept

How this is measured. Electors: the share of the current riding's 2025 ordinary-list electors who lived in each former riding, each 2025 polling division placed in the 2013 riding a point inside it falls in. Area: the share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files, and how much of the former riding that part was. Area is land, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

Candidate	Party	Votes	%	2021	±
Shaun Chen	Liberal	29,418	63.0%	66.3%	−3.3
Gurmit Sandhu	Conservative	15,487	33.1%	17.9%	+15.2
Karishma Manji	New Democratic	1,827	3.9%	11.5%	−7.6

The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Third place vs. the margin

1,827 votes

New Democratic took fewer than the 13,931-vote margin.

Election-day polls won by others

7 of 184

No poll ended in a tie.

Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Liberals (177) · ■ won by another party (7).

Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 6,966 voters switching from Liberal to Conservative — 14.9% of the 46,732 valid votes, 14.9 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Voters who switch: 0013,932

Liberal29,418

Conservative15,487

Still Liberal by 13,931 votes. Actual margin: 13,931.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 63.1% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.

On election day the Liberals took 60.3%, the Conservatives 35.4% and the New Democrats 4.3%; in advance and special ballots, 67.5%, 29.2% and 3.2%, in that order.

Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, Scarborough North, April 28, 2025

Shares of the valid votes cast at election-day polls, and of those cast at advance polls, at mobile polls and by special ballot; the gap is the second less the first, in points. Source: Elections Canada, poll-by-poll results, the 2025 general election.

The figures

Party	Election day	Advance and special	Gap
Liberal	60.3%	67.5%	+7.2
Conservative	35.4%	29.2%	−6.2
New Democratic	4.3%	3.2%	−1.1

An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhere it is

loading basemap…

Fig. 3 — Scarborough North and its 4 neighbouring ridings.

Sources and citation

"Scarborough North — federal riding profile and 2025 results."
The Political Record. https://politicalrecord.ca/riding/scarborough-north/
Accessed 2026-11-10.

Results and transposition: Elections Canada. Boundaries: Elections Canada / Statistics Canada, Open Government Licence – Canada. Census: Statistics Canada 2021 Census. Member: House of Commons.

Figures reconcile to the certified national total of 19,641,663 votes. The member is as the House of Commons listed them on 2026-11-01. Page built 2026-11-10.