The Political Record · Federal electoral districts
Scarborough Centre—Don Valley East
Scarborough-Centre—Don Valley-Est
Federal riding · ON · No. 35093 · 2023 representation order
- Member
- Salma Zahid Liberal
- 2025 result
- Liberal hold by 9,250 votes
- Turnout
- 61.9% of 78,512 electors
- Population
- 111,375 2021 census
- Area
- 31 km²
- Figures as of
- 2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
- Area, smallest first31 km² · 33rd of 343 in Canada
- Turnout, lowest first61.9% of 78,512 electors voted · 37th of 343 in Canada
- Population, smallest first111,375 people, 2021 census · 145th of 343 in Canada
In brief
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
Salma Zahid
- Chair: Science and Research
- Chair: Subcommittee on Agenda and Procedure
- Member: Liaison
- Member: Science and Research
IDid this riding change?
Yes. 40% of today's Scarborough Centre—Don Valley East came from ridings other than the old Scarborough Centre.
Share of today's areaFormer riding
59.9%Scarborough Centre 63% of it kept
40.1%Don Valley East 52% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.
IIThe 2025 result
Liberal hold
Elected
Salma Zahid
Liberal
27,557
57.3% of valid votes
Margin
9,250
votes · +19.2 pts
Runner-up
Belent Mathew
Conservative
18,307
38.1% of valid votes
Liberal 57.3% · Conservative 38.1% · New Democratic 3.3% · People's 1.4%
Turnout61.9% of 78,512 electors
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | 2021 | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salma Zahid | Liberal | 27,557 | 57.3% | 55.7% | +1.6 |
| Belent Mathew | Conservative | 18,307 | 38.1% | 25.0% | +13.1 |
| Alyson Koa | New Democratic | 1,565 | 3.3% | 13.6% | −10.3 |
| Peter Koubakis | People's | 659 | 1.4% | 4.2% | −2.8 |
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.
IIIHow close was it, really
Swing needed to flip
9.6 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
1,565 votes
New Democratic took fewer than the 9,250-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
32 of 188
1 poll ended in an exact tie.
Flip the seatHypothetical
It would have taken 4,626 voters switching from Liberal to Conservative — 9.6% of the 48,088 valid votes, 9.6 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.
Liberal27,557
Conservative18,307
Still Liberal by 9,250 votes. Actual margin: 9,250.
IVElection day versus advance
Only 61.4% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.
Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Liberal54.5%61.8%+7.3
Conservative40.4%34.4%−6.0
New Democratic3.5%2.8%−0.7
People's1.6%1.0%−0.6
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.
VWhat kind of place this is
- Median total household income is $79,500 — a little lower than the median riding's $84,000.highestlowest141st lowest of 343
- Median age is 41.2 — about the same as the median riding's 41.6.highestlowest161st lowest of 343
- Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 38.4% — about 1.4 times the median riding's 28.2%.highestlowest111th highest of 343
- Share who are immigrants is 52.7% — about 3.0 times the median riding's 17.3%.highestlowest23rd highest of 343
- Share of households that own their home is 49.1% — about 69 percent of the median riding's 71.4%.highestlowest45th lowest of 343
- Share with French as a mother tongue is 1.1% — about 69 percent of the median riding's 1.6%.highestlowest112th lowest of 343
2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.
VIWhere it is
loading basemap…
The card
No. 35093ON · 2025
Scarborough Centre—Don Valley East
Salma Zahid
- Result
- Liberal hold by 9,250
- Turnout
- 61.9%
- Population
- 111,375
- Area
- 31 km²
Area, smallest firstTurnout, lowest firstPopulation, smallest first
One of 343The Political Record
A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.
Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.
Open a neighbour to collect the next one.