82 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Committees of the House — Procedure and House Affairs.
IDid this riding change?
Yes. 11% of today's St. Catharines came from ridings other than the old St. Catharines.
Share of today's areaFormer riding
88.9%St. Catharines 97% of it kept
11.0%Niagara Centre 2% of it kept
0.2%Niagara Falls 0% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.
IIThe 2025 result
Liberal hold
Elected
Chris Bittle
Liberal
34,750
52.0% of valid votes
Margin
7,737
votes · +11.6 pts
Runner-up
Bas Sluijmers
Conservative
27,013
40.4% of valid votes
Liberal 52.0% · Conservative 40.4% · New Democratic 6.0%
Turnout69.3% of 97,096 electors
Candidate
Party
Votes
%
2021
±
Chris Bittle
Liberal
34,750
52.0%
37.6%
+14.4
Bas Sluijmers
Conservative
27,013
40.4%
32.2%
+8.2
Karen Orlandi
New Democratic
4,021
6.0%
21.2%
−15.2
3 further candidates, each under 1% of the vote
Dennis Wilson
People's
522
0.8%
Christopher Reilly
Independent
306
0.5%
Taha Alexander Haj-Ahmad
Other
198
0.3%
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.
IIIHow close was it, really
Swing needed to flip
5.8 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
4,021 votes
New Democratic took fewer than the 7,737-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
83 of 193
3 polls ended in an exact tie.
Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Liberals (107) · ■ won by another party (83) · ▨ tied (3).
Flip the seatHypothetical
It would have taken 3,869 voters switching from Liberal to Conservative — 5.8% of the 66,810 valid votes, 5.8 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.
Liberal34,750
Conservative27,013
Still Liberal by 7,737 votes. Actual margin: 7,737.
IVElection day versus advance
Only 53.6% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.
Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Liberal47.4%57.3%+9.9
Conservative43.6%36.7%−6.9
New Democratic6.9%5.0%−1.9
People's1.1%0.5%−0.6
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.
VWhat kind of place this is
Median total household income is $71,500 — a little lower than the median riding's $84,000.
highestlowest72nd lowest of 343
Median age is 45.2 — a little higher than the median riding's 41.6.
highestlowest78th highest of 343
Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 26.5% — a little lower than the median riding's 28.2%.
highestlowest160th lowest of 343
Share who are immigrants is 19.3% — a little higher than the median riding's 17.3%.
highestlowest162nd highest of 343
Share of households that own their home is 63.6% — a little lower than the median riding's 71.4%.
highestlowest102nd lowest of 343
Share with French as a mother tongue is 1.8% — a little higher than the median riding's 1.6%.
highestlowest146th highest of 343
2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.
VIWhere it is
loading basemap…
Fig. 3 — St. Catharines and its 3 neighbouring ridings.
Length of the ballotPopulation, largest firstArea, smallest first
One of 343The Political Record
A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.
Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.