The Political Record · Federal electoral districts

St. Catharines

Federal riding · ON · No. 35101 · 2023 representation order
Fig. 1 — St. Catharines, 2023 boundaries.
Member
Chris Bittle Liberal
2025 result
Liberal hold by 7,737 votes
Turnout
69.3% of 97,096 electors
Population
119,870 2021 census
Area
96 km²
Figures as of
2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
  • Length of the ballot: 6 candidates stood · 61st of 343 in Canada61st
    Length of the ballot
    6 candidates stood · 61st of 343 in Canada
  • Population, largest first: 119,870 people, 2021 census · 66th of 343 in Canada66th
    Population, largest first
    119,870 people, 2021 census · 66th of 343 in Canada
  • Area, smallest first: 96 km² · 125th of 343 in Canada125th
    Area, smallest first
    96 km² · 125th of 343 in Canada
In brief
  1. Chris Bittle held the seat for the Liberals by 7,737 votes (+11.6 points).
  2. 11% of today's riding was drawn from other ridings in 2023.
  3. Election-day and advance voters agreed on the winner; 53.6% of votes were cast on the day.
  4. Median total household income is the 72nd lowest of 343 ridings.
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
Chris Bittle
Liberal · first elected 2015-10-19 · 4 terms
  • Chair: Procedure and House Affairs
  • Chair: Subcommittee on Agenda and Procedure
  • Member: Liaison
  • Member: Procedure and House Affairs
82 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Committees of the House — Procedure and House Affairs.

IDid this riding change?

Yes. 11% of today's St. Catharines came from ridings other than the old St. Catharines.

Share of today's areaFormer riding
88.9%St. Catharines 97% of it kept
11.0%Niagara Centre 2% of it kept
0.2%Niagara Falls 0% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

Liberal hold
Elected
Chris Bittle
Liberal
34,750
52.0% of valid votes
Margin
7,737
votes · +11.6 pts
Runner-up
Bas Sluijmers
Conservative
27,013
40.4% of valid votes
Liberal 52.0% · Conservative 40.4% · New Democratic 6.0%
Turnout69.3% of 97,096 electors
CandidatePartyVotes%2021±
Chris BittleLiberal34,75052.0%37.6%+14.4
Bas SluijmersConservative27,01340.4%32.2%+8.2
Karen OrlandiNew Democratic4,0216.0%21.2%−15.2
3 further candidates, each under 1% of the vote
Dennis WilsonPeople's5220.8%
Christopher ReillyIndependent3060.5%
Taha Alexander Haj-AhmadOther1980.3%
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Swing needed to flip
5.8 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
4,021 votes
New Democratic took fewer than the 7,737-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
83 of 193
3 polls ended in an exact tie.
Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Liberals (107) · ■ won by another party (83) · ▨ tied (3).
Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 3,869 voters switching from Liberal to Conservative — 5.8% of the 66,810 valid votes, 5.8 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Liberal34,750
Conservative27,013
Still Liberal by 7,737 votes. Actual margin: 7,737.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 53.6% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.

Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Liberal47.4%57.3%+9.9
Conservative43.6%36.7%−6.9
New Democratic6.9%5.0%−1.9
People's1.1%0.5%−0.6
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhat kind of place this is

2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.

VIWhere it is

loading basemap…
Fig. 3 — St. Catharines and its 3 neighbouring ridings.

The card

No. 35101ON · 2025
St. Catharines
Chris Bittle
Result
Liberal hold by 7,737
Turnout
69.3%
Population
119,870
Area
96 km²
Length of the ballot: 6 candidates stood · 61st of 343 in Canada61stLength of the ballotPopulation, largest first: 119,870 people, 2021 census · 66th of 343 in Canada66thPopulation, largest firstArea, smallest first: 96 km² · 125th of 343 in Canada125thArea, smallest first
One of 343The Political Record

A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.

Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.

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