The Political RecordFederal electoral districtsNo. 35018Ontario

Burlington North—Milton West

Burlington-Nord—Milton-Ouest

Burlington North—Milton West is a federal riding in Ontario. Adam van Koeverden (Liberal, first elected to the House in 2019) represents Burlington North—Milton West. Adam Van Koeverden (Liberal) held Burlington North—Milton West for the Liberals in the 2025 election by 5,983 votes (8.4 points), with 52.7% of the vote. Nadeem Akbar (Conservative) was second with 44.3%, on a turnout of 73.9% of 95,825 electors. Member as of 2026-11-01.

Fig. 1 — Burlington North—Milton West on the board, 2023 boundaries; the ridings next door as the House holds them on 2026-11-01. Open it on the board →

Who represents Burlington North—Milton West

Adam van Koeverden's piece from the board. Illustration after the official portrait © House of Commons.

Adam van Koeverden

Member of Parliament for Burlington North—Milton West

Liberal

MP since 2019-10-21 · 3 terms

Secretary of State (Sport)

91 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on The Economy.

Contact and office · House of Commons →

The 2025 result: Liberal hold

Share of the valid votes by candidate, Burlington North—Milton West, April 28, 2025

Shares of the 70,441 valid votes; a candidate under 1% is counted with the others. Source: Elections Canada, official voting results, the 2025 general election.

The figures

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Adam Van Koeverden	Liberal	37,155	52.7%
Nadeem Akbar	Conservative	31,172	44.3%
Naveed Ahmed	New Democratic	1,507	2.1%
Other (1)		607	0.9%

Adam Van Koeverden (Liberal) won Burlington North—Milton West on April 28, 2025 with 37,155 votes, 52.7% of the 70,441 valid votes. Nadeem Akbar (Conservative) was second with 31,172 (44.3%), 5,983 votes and 8.4 points behind.

Of the 70,441 valid votes, Adam Van Koeverden (Liberal) took 52.7%, Nadeem Akbar (Conservative) 44.3% and Naveed Ahmed (New Democratic) 2.1%; one other candidate took 0.9%. Turnout was 73.9% of 95,825 electors: 70,807 ballots cast, 70,441 of them valid, for 4 candidates.

Since 2021

Against the 2021 result on these boundaries, the Liberals are up 5.1 (47.6% to 52.7%), the Conservatives up 7.9 (36.4% to 44.3%) and the New Democrats down 7.4 (9.5% to 2.1%), in points of the valid votes.

2021 is Elections Canada's transposition of that election onto the 2023 boundaries, not an election held on these lines.

Since 2004: no party has held it

The party first in Burlington North—Milton West at each general election, 2004 to 2025, on today's boundaries

2004Liberal48.4%by 10.0 points over the Conservatives
2006changed handsConservative44.2%by 2.7 points over the Liberals
2008Conservative47.5%by 11.3 points over the Liberals
2011Conservative54.5%by 28.7 points over the Liberals
2015†Conservative44.4%by 1.1 points over the Liberals
2019changed handsLiberal50.1%by 13.2 points over the Conservatives
2021Liberal47.6%by 11.2 points over the Conservatives
2025Liberal52.7%by 8.4 points over the Conservatives

Each election carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate to 2019, Elections Canada's transposition for 2021, the official result for 2025. Parties are counted as they ran. † The first two are within two points, so which party was first is less certain.

The figures

Year	First	Share	Second	Margin (pts)	Basis
2004	Liberal	48.4%	Conservative	10.0	carried, our estimate
2006	Conservative	44.2%	Liberal	2.7	carried, our estimate
2008	Conservative	47.5%	Liberal	11.3	carried, our estimate
2011	Conservative	54.5%	Liberal	28.7	carried, our estimate
2015†	Conservative	44.4%	Liberal	1.1	carried, our estimate
2019	Liberal	50.1%	Conservative	13.2	carried, our estimate
2021	Liberal	47.6%	Conservative	11.2	transposed by Elections Canada
2025	Liberal	52.7%	Conservative	8.4	official result

The Liberals were first at four of the eight general elections from 2004 to 2025, the Conservatives at four; it changed hands twice. In 2025 the Liberals took 52.7% of the vote here, 10.9 points above their average of 41.8% at the seven general elections from 2004 to 2021.

On today's boundaries the Liberals were first here in 2004 (48.4%), 2019 (50.1%), 2021 (47.6%) and 2025 (52.7%) and the Conservatives in 2006 (44.2%), 2008 (47.5%), 2011 (54.5%) and 2015 (44.4%), each with the share of the valid votes shown.

A stronghold is a party first at every general election since 2004, by an average of 20 points or more over the next party; held, first at every one; usually, first at all but one. By-elections are not counted. By this rule 160 of the 343 ridings have no degree. The results before 2021 are carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate, from the older boundaries of Taylor, Lucas, Kirby and Hewitt and the results in Sevi's "Who Runs?". 2021 is Elections Canada's transposition, and 2025 the official result. In 2015 the carried top two are within two points, so which party was first is less certain.

Before 2025

2021 Liberal · Adam van Koeverden, by 10,190 votes (18.4 pts)
2019 Liberal · Adam van Koeverden, by 9,318 votes (15.6 pts)
2015 Conservative · Lisa Raitt, by 2,438 votes (5.0 pts)

In Milton on the 2013 boundaries, the riding most of the 2025 electors in today's Burlington North—Milton West lived in; Elections Canada's official results.

What kind of place Burlington North—Milton West is

Population: 125,5752021 census
Area: 397km²
Density: 316people per km²
Electors: 95,825on the 2025 lists

Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings

6th-highest household income
Median household income $129,000, 6th highest of 343 (Median total household income, 2021 census)

Median total household income is $129,000 — about 1.5 times the median riding's $84,000.
highestlowest6th highest of 343
Share of households that own their home is 84.0% — about 1.2 times the median riding's 71.4%.
highestlowest22nd highest of 343
Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 52.2% — about 1.9 times the median riding's 28.2%.
highestlowest38th highest of 343
Median age is 38.0 — a little lower than the median riding's 41.6.
highestlowest66th lowest of 343
Share who are immigrants is 36.1% — about 2.1 times the median riding's 17.3%.
highestlowest72nd highest of 343
Share with French as a mother tongue is 1.2% — about 75 percent of the median riding's 1.6%.
highestlowest126th lowest of 343

2021 Census on the 2023 boundaries; each rule places this riding among all 343. Density is the census population over the riding's area.

IDid this riding change?

Yes. 54% of the 2025 electors in today's Burlington North—Milton West lived in the old Milton; by area, 7% of the riding came from other ridings.

Share of today's electorsFormer riding

54.1%Milton 93.0% of the area · 78% of it kept

45.9%Oakville North—Burlington 7.0% of the area · 30% of it kept

How this is measured. Electors: the share of the current riding's 2025 ordinary-list electors who lived in each former riding, each 2025 polling division placed in the 2013 riding a point inside it falls in. Area: the share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files, and how much of the former riding that part was. Area is land, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

Candidate	Party	Votes	%	2021	±
Adam Van Koeverden	Liberal	37,155	52.7%	47.6%	+5.1
Nadeem Akbar	Conservative	31,172	44.3%	36.4%	+7.9
Naveed Ahmed	New Democratic	1,507	2.1%	9.5%	−7.4

1 further candidate, under 1% of the vote

Charles Zach

People's

607

0.9%

The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Third place vs. the margin

1,507 votes

New Democratic took fewer than the 5,983-vote margin.

Election-day polls won by others

74 of 180

3 polls ended in an exact tie.

Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Liberals (103) · ■ won by another party (74) · ▨ tied (3).

Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 2,992 voters switching from Liberal to Conservative — 4.2% of the 70,441 valid votes, 4.2 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Voters who switch: 005,984

Liberal37,155

Conservative31,172

Still Liberal by 5,983 votes. Actual margin: 5,983.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 53.5% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.

On election day the Liberals took 49.6%, the Conservatives 46.8%, the New Democrats 2.5% and the People's Party 1.1%; in advance and special ballots, 56.3%, 41.4%, 1.7% and 0.6%, in that order.

Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, Burlington North—Milton West, April 28, 2025

Shares of the valid votes cast at election-day polls, and of those cast at advance polls, at mobile polls and by special ballot; the gap is the second less the first, in points. Source: Elections Canada, poll-by-poll results, the 2025 general election.

The figures

Party	Election day	Advance and special	Gap
Liberal	49.6%	56.3%	+6.7
Conservative	46.8%	41.4%	−5.4
New Democratic	2.5%	1.7%	−0.8
People's Party	1.1%	0.6%	−0.5

An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhere it is

loading basemap…

Fig. 3 — Burlington North—Milton West and its 5 neighbouring ridings.

Sources and citation

"Burlington North—Milton West — federal riding profile and 2025 results."
The Political Record. https://politicalrecord.ca/riding/burlington-north-milton-west/
Accessed 2026-11-10.

Results and transposition: Elections Canada. Boundaries: Elections Canada / Statistics Canada, Open Government Licence – Canada. Census: Statistics Canada 2021 Census. Member: House of Commons.

Figures reconcile to the certified national total of 19,641,663 votes. The member is as the House of Commons listed them on 2026-11-01. Page built 2026-11-10.