The Political Record · Federal electoral districts

Burlington North—Milton West

Burlington-Nord—Milton-Ouest
Federal riding · ON · No. 35018 · 2023 representation order
Fig. 1 — Burlington North—Milton West, 2023 boundaries.
Member
Adam van Koeverden Liberal
2025 result
Liberal hold by 5,983 votes
Turnout
73.9% of 95,825 electors
Population
125,575 2021 census
Area
397 km²
Figures as of
2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
  • Highest household income: Median household income $129,000, 6th highest of 343 (Median total household income, 2021 census)6th
    Highest household income
    Median household income $129,000, 6th highest of 343 (Median total household income, 2021 census)
  • Population, largest first: 125,575 people, 2021 census · 24th of 343 in Canada24th
    Population, largest first
    125,575 people, 2021 census · 24th of 343 in Canada
  • Turnout: 73.9% of 95,825 electors voted · 52nd of 343 in Canada52nd
    Turnout
    73.9% of 95,825 electors voted · 52nd of 343 in Canada
In brief
  1. Adam Van Koeverden held the seat for the Liberals by 5,983 votes (+8.4 points).
  2. 7% of today's riding was drawn from other ridings in 2023.
  3. Election-day and advance voters agreed on the winner; 53.5% of votes were cast on the day.
  4. Median total household income is the 6th highest of 343 ridings.
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
Adam van Koeverden
Liberal · first elected 2019-10-21 · 3 terms
  • Secretary of State (Sport)

IDid this riding change?

Yes. 7% of today's Burlington North—Milton West came from ridings other than the old Milton.

Share of today's areaFormer riding
93.0%Milton 78% of it kept
7.0%Oakville North—Burlington 30% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

Liberal hold
Elected
Adam Van Koeverden
Liberal
37,155
52.7% of valid votes
Margin
5,983
votes · +8.4 pts
Runner-up
Nadeem Akbar
Conservative
31,172
44.3% of valid votes
Liberal 52.7% · Conservative 44.3% · New Democratic 2.1%
Turnout73.9% of 95,825 electors
CandidatePartyVotes%2021±
Adam Van KoeverdenLiberal37,15552.7%47.6%+5.1
Nadeem AkbarConservative31,17244.3%36.4%+7.9
Naveed AhmedNew Democratic1,5072.1%9.5%−7.4
1 further candidate, under 1% of the vote
Charles ZachPeople's6070.9%
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Swing needed to flip
4.2 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
1,507 votes
New Democratic took fewer than the 5,983-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
74 of 180
3 polls ended in an exact tie.
Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Liberals (103) · ■ won by another party (74) · ▨ tied (3).
Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 2,992 voters switching from Liberal to Conservative — 4.2% of the 70,441 valid votes, 4.2 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Liberal37,155
Conservative31,172
Still Liberal by 5,983 votes. Actual margin: 5,983.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 53.5% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.

Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Liberal49.6%56.3%+6.7
Conservative46.8%41.4%−5.4
New Democratic2.5%1.7%−0.8
People's1.1%0.6%−0.5
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhat kind of place this is

2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.

VIWhere it is

loading basemap…
Fig. 3 — Burlington North—Milton West and its 5 neighbouring ridings.

The card

No. 35018ON · 2025
Burlington North—Milton West
Adam van Koeverden
Result
Liberal hold by 5,983
Turnout
73.9%
Population
125,575
Area
397 km²
Highest household income: Median household income $129,000, 6th highest of 343 (Median total household income, 2021 census)6thHighest household incomePopulation, largest first: 125,575 people, 2021 census · 24th of 343 in Canada24thPopulation, largest firstTurnout: 73.9% of 95,825 electors voted · 52nd of 343 in Canada52ndTurnout
One of 343The Political Record

A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.

Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.

Open a neighbour to collect the next one.