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The Political RecordFederal electoral districtsNo. 35019Ontario

Cambridge

Cambridge is a federal riding in Ontario. Connie Cody (Conservative) has represented Cambridge since the 2025 election. Connie Cody (Conservative) took Cambridge from the Liberals in the 2025 election by 1,457 votes (2.3 points), with 48.6% of the vote. Bryan May (Liberal) was second with 46.3%, on a turnout of 69.8% of 94,289 electors. Member as of .

Flamborough—Glanbrook—Brant North · ConservativeKitchener South—Hespeler · ConservativeKitchener—Conestoga · LiberalOxford · ConservativeWellington—Halton Hills North · ConservativeCambridge
Fig. 1 — Cambridge on the board, 2023 boundaries; the ridings next door as the House holds them on . Open it on the board →

Who represents Cambridge

CConnie Cody
Connie Cody's piece from the board. Illustration after the official portrait © House of Commons.

Connie Cody

Member of Parliament for Cambridge

Conservative

MP since · first term

  • Status of Women committee

155 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on The Economy.

Contact and office · House of Commons →

The 2025 result: Conservative gain from the Liberals

Share of the valid votes by candidate, Cambridge, April 28, 2025

Share of the valid votes by candidate, Cambridge, April 28, 2025Of the 65,419 valid votes, Connie Cody (Conservative) took 48.6%, Bryan May (Liberal) 46.3%, José de Lima (New Democratic) 3.3% and Lux Burgess (Green) 1.6%; one other candidate took 0.2%.2025Turnout 69.8% of 94,289 electorsConnie CodyConservative48.6% · 31,7661,457 votes ahead · 2.2 ptsBryan MayLiberal46.3% · 30,309José de LimaNew Democratic3.3% · 2,183Lux BurgessGreen1.6% · 1,052Other (1)0.2% · 109050%100%
Share of the valid votes by candidate, Cambridge, April 28, 2025Of the 65,419 valid votes, Connie Cody (Conservative) took 48.6%, Bryan May (Liberal) 46.3%, José de Lima (New Democratic) 3.3% and Lux Burgess (Green) 1.6%; one other candidate took 0.2%.2025Turnout 69.8% of 94,289 electorsConnie CodyConservative48.6% · 31,7661,457 votes ahead · 2.2 ptsBryan MayLiberal46.3% · 30,309José de LimaNew Democratic3.3% · 2,183Lux BurgessGreen1.6% · 1,052Other (1)0.2% · 109050%100%
Shares of the 65,419 valid votes; a candidate under 1% is counted with the others. Source: Elections Canada, official voting results, the 2025 general election.
The figures
CandidatePartyVotesShare
Connie CodyConservative31,76648.6%
Bryan MayLiberal30,30946.3%
José de LimaNew Democratic2,1833.3%
Lux BurgessGreen1,0521.6%
Other (1)1090.2%

Connie Cody (Conservative) won Cambridge on with 31,766 votes, 48.6% of the 65,419 valid votes. Bryan May (Liberal) was second with 30,309 (46.3%), 1,457 votes and 2.3 points behind.

Of the 65,419 valid votes, Connie Cody (Conservative) took 48.6%, Bryan May (Liberal) 46.3%, José de Lima (New Democratic) 3.3% and Lux Burgess (Green) 1.6%; one other candidate took 0.2%. Turnout was 69.8% of 94,289 electors: 65,857 ballots cast, 65,419 of them valid, for 5 candidates.

Since 2021

Against the 2021 result on these boundaries, the Conservatives are up 14.7 (33.9% to 48.6%), the Liberals up 8.3 (38.0% to 46.3%), the New Democrats down 13.7 (17.0% to 3.3%) and the Greens down 1.8 (3.4% to 1.6%), in points of the valid votes.

2021 is Elections Canada's transposition of that election onto the 2023 boundaries, not an election held on these lines.

Since 2004: no party has held it

The party first in Cambridge at each general election, 2004 to 2025, on today's boundaries

  1. 2004†Conservative37.1%by 0.4 points over the Liberals
  2. 2006Conservative43.9%by 10.2 points over the Liberals
  3. 2008Conservative48.6%by 25.2 points over the Liberals
  4. 2011Conservative53.4%by 25.7 points over the New Democrats
  5. 2015changed handsLiberal43.2%by 4.6 points over the Conservatives
  6. 2019Liberal39.5%by 9.5 points over the Conservatives
  7. 2021Liberal38.0%by 4.1 points over the Conservatives
  8. 2025changed handsConservative48.6%by 2.3 points over the Liberals
Each election carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate to 2019, Elections Canada's transposition for 2021, the official result for 2025. Parties are counted as they ran. † The first two are within two points, so which party was first is less certain.
The figures
YearFirstShareSecondMargin (pts)Basis
2004†Conservative37.1%Liberal0.4carried, our estimate
2006Conservative43.9%Liberal10.2carried, our estimate
2008Conservative48.6%Liberal25.2carried, our estimate
2011Conservative53.4%New Democratic25.7carried, our estimate
2015Liberal43.2%Conservative4.6carried, our estimate
2019Liberal39.5%Conservative9.5carried, our estimate
2021Liberal38.0%Conservative4.1transposed by Elections Canada
2025Conservative48.6%Liberal2.3official result

The Conservatives were first at five of the eight general elections from 2004 to 2025, the Liberals at three; it changed hands twice. In 2025 the Conservatives took 48.6% of the vote here, 7.8 points above their average of 40.8% at the seven general elections from 2004 to 2021.

On today's boundaries the Conservatives were first here in 2004 (37.1%), 2006 (43.9%), 2008 (48.6%), 2011 (53.4%) and 2025 (48.6%) and the Liberals in 2015 (43.2%), 2019 (39.5%) and 2021 (38.0%), each with the share of the valid votes shown.

A stronghold is a party first at every general election since 2004, by an average of 20 points or more over the next party; held, first at every one; usually, first at all but one. By-elections are not counted. By this rule 160 of the 343 ridings have no degree. The results before 2021 are carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate, from the older boundaries of Taylor, Lucas, Kirby and Hewitt and the results in Sevi's "Who Runs?". 2021 is Elections Canada's transposition, and 2025 the official result. In 2004 the carried top two are within two points, so which party was first is less certain.

Before 2025
  • 2021 Liberal · Bryan May, by 1,990 votes (3.6 pts)
  • 2019 Liberal · Bryan May, by 5,494 votes (9.5 pts)
  • 2015 Liberal · Bryan May, by 2,411 votes (4.6 pts)

In the old Cambridge on the 2013 boundaries, the riding most of the 2025 electors in today's Cambridge lived in; Elections Canada's official results.

What kind of place Cambridge is

Population
119,5002021 census
Area
274km²
Density
436people per km²
Electors
94,289on the 2025 lists
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
  • Changed hands in 2025: One of 58 of 343 ridings where the winning party changed from the transposed 2021 result (21 of 122 in Ontario)58
    Changed hands in 2025
    One of 58 of 343 ridings where the winning party changed from the transposed 2021 result (21 of 122 in Ontario)
  • Median total household income is $90,000 — a little higher than the median riding's $84,000.
    highestlowest112th highest of 343
  • Share with French as a mother tongue is 1.1% — about 69 percent of the median riding's 1.6%.
    highestlowest112th lowest of 343
  • Median age is 40.0 — a little lower than the median riding's 41.6.
    highestlowest116th lowest of 343
  • Share of households that own their home is 67.6% — a little lower than the median riding's 71.4%.
    highestlowest128th lowest of 343
  • Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 23.4% — about 83 percent of the median riding's 28.2%.
    highestlowest131st lowest of 343
  • Share who are immigrants is 22.3% — about 1.3 times the median riding's 17.3%.
    highestlowest143rd highest of 343

2021 Census on the 2023 boundaries; each rule places this riding among all 343. Density is the census population over the riding's area.

IDid this riding change?

Yes — it shrank. All of today's Cambridge, its electors as well as its ground, comes from the old Cambridge, but it is only 74% of that riding by area. The rest went elsewhere.

Share of today's electorsFormer riding
100.0%Cambridge 100.0% of the area · 74% of it kept
How this is measured. Electors: the share of the current riding's 2025 ordinary-list electors who lived in each former riding, each 2025 polling division placed in the 2013 riding a point inside it falls in. Area: the share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files, and how much of the former riding that part was. Area is land, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

CandidatePartyVotes%2021±
Connie CodyConservative31,76648.6%33.9%+14.7
Bryan MayLiberal30,30946.3%38.0%+8.3
José de LimaNew Democratic2,1833.3%17.0%−13.7
Lux BurgessGreen1,0521.6%3.4%−1.8
1 further candidate, under 1% of the vote
Manuel CoutoOther1090.2%
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Third place vs. the margin
2,183 votes
New Democratic took more than the 1,457-vote margin. True in 100 of 343 ridings in 2025.
Election-day polls won by others
42 of 185
3 polls ended in an exact tie.
Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Conservatives (140) · ■ won by another party (42) · ▨ tied (3).
Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 729 voters switching from Conservative to Liberal — 1.1% of the 65,419 valid votes, 1.1 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Conservative31,766
Liberal30,309
Still Conservative by 1,457 votes. Actual margin: 1,457.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 59.2% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.

On election day the Liberals took 42.8%, the Conservatives 51.3%, the New Democrats 3.9% and the Greens 1.8%; in advance and special ballots, 51.5%, 44.6%, 2.5% and 1.3%, in that order.

Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, Cambridge, April 28, 2025

Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, Cambridge, April 28, 2025On election day the Liberals took 42.8%, the Conservatives 51.3%, the New Democrats 3.9% and the Greens 1.8%; in advance and special ballots, 51.5%, 44.6%, 2.5% and 1.3%, in that order.Election dayAdvance and special± pts, the gapLiberal42.8%51.5%+8.7 ptsConservative51.3%44.6%−6.7 ptsNew Democratic3.9%2.5%−1.4 ptsGreen1.8%1.3%−0.5 pts050%100%
Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, Cambridge, April 28, 2025On election day the Liberals took 42.8%, the Conservatives 51.3%, the New Democrats 3.9% and the Greens 1.8%; in advance and special ballots, 51.5%, 44.6%, 2.5% and 1.3%, in that order.Election dayAdvance and special± pts, the gapLiberal42.8%51.5%+8.7 ptsConservative51.3%44.6%−6.7 ptsNew Democratic3.9%2.5%−1.4 ptsGreen1.8%1.3%−0.5 pts050%100%
Shares of the valid votes cast at election-day polls, and of those cast at advance polls, at mobile polls and by special ballot; the gap is the second less the first, in points. Source: Elections Canada, poll-by-poll results, the 2025 general election.
The figures
PartyElection dayAdvance and specialGap
Liberal42.8%51.5%+8.7
Conservative51.3%44.6%−6.7
New Democratic3.9%2.5%−1.4
Green1.8%1.3%−0.5
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhere it is

loading basemap…
Fig. 3 — Cambridge and its 5 neighbouring ridings.

Sources and citation

"Cambridge — federal riding profile and 2025 results." The Political Record. https://politicalrecord.ca/riding/cambridge/ Accessed 2026-11-10.

Results and transposition: Elections Canada. Boundaries: Elections Canada / Statistics Canada, Open Government Licence – Canada. Census: Statistics Canada 2021 Census. Member: House of Commons.

Figures reconcile to the certified national total of 19,641,663 votes. The member is as the House of Commons listed them on 2026-11-01. Page built 2026-11-10.