The Political Record · Federal electoral districts

Cambridge

Federal riding · ON · No. 35019 · 2023 representation order
Fig. 1 — Cambridge, 2023 boundaries.
Member
Connie Cody Conservative
2025 result
Conservative gain by 1,457 votes
Turnout
69.8% of 94,289 electors
Population
119,500 2021 census
Area
274 km²
Figures as of
2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
  • Changed hands in 2025: One of 58 of 343 ridings where the winning party changed from the transposed 2021 result (21 of 122 in Ontario)58
    Changed hands in 2025
    One of 58 of 343 ridings where the winning party changed from the transposed 2021 result (21 of 122 in Ontario)
  • Closeness of the race: Won by 1,457 votes (2.3 pts) · 29th of 343 in Canada29th
    Closeness of the race
    Won by 1,457 votes (2.3 pts) · 29th of 343 in Canada
  • Population, largest first: 119,500 people, 2021 census · 74th of 343 in Canada74th
    Population, largest first
    119,500 people, 2021 census · 74th of 343 in Canada
In brief
  1. Connie Cody took the seat for the Conservatives by 1,457 votes (+2.3 points).
  2. The riding shrank in 2023: it keeps 74% of the old Cambridge.
  3. Election-day and advance voters agreed on the winner; 59.2% of votes were cast on the day.
  4. Median total household income is the 112th highest of 343 ridings.
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
Connie Cody
Conservative · first elected 2025-04-28 · first term
  • Member: Status of Women
138 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on The Economy.

IDid this riding change?

Yes — it shrank. All of today's Cambridge comes from the old Cambridge, but it is only 74% of that riding. The rest went elsewhere.

Share of today's areaFormer riding
100.0%Cambridge 74% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

Conservative gain
Elected
Connie Cody
Conservative
31,766
48.6% of valid votes
Margin
1,457
votes · +2.3 pts
Runner-up
Bryan May
Liberal
30,309
46.3% of valid votes
Conservative 48.6% · Liberal 46.3% · New Democratic 3.3% · Green 1.6%
Turnout69.8% of 94,289 electors
CandidatePartyVotes%2021±
Connie CodyConservative31,76648.6%33.9%+14.7
Bryan MayLiberal30,30946.3%38.0%+8.3
José de LimaNew Democratic2,1833.3%17.0%−13.7
Lux BurgessGreen1,0521.6%3.4%−1.8
1 further candidate, under 1% of the vote
Manuel CoutoOther1090.2%
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Swing needed to flip
1.1 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
2,183 votes
New Democratic took more than the 1,457-vote margin. True in 100 of 343 ridings in 2025.
Election-day polls won by others
42 of 185
3 polls ended in an exact tie.
Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Conservatives (140) · ■ won by another party (42) · ▨ tied (3).
Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 729 voters switching from Conservative to Liberal — 1.1% of the 65,419 valid votes, 1.1 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Conservative31,766
Liberal30,309
Still Conservative by 1,457 votes. Actual margin: 1,457.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 59.2% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.

Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Conservative51.3%44.6%−6.7
Liberal42.8%51.5%+8.7
New Democratic3.9%2.5%−1.4
Green1.8%1.3%−0.5
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhat kind of place this is

2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.

VIWhere it is

loading basemap…
Fig. 3 — Cambridge and its 5 neighbouring ridings.

The card

No. 35019ON · 2025
Cambridge
Connie Cody
Result
Conservative gain by 1,457
Turnout
69.8%
Population
119,500
Area
274 km²
Changed hands in 2025: One of 58 of 343 ridings where the winning party changed from the transposed 2021 result (21 of 122 in Ontario)58Changed hands in 2025Closeness of the race: Won by 1,457 votes (2.3 pts) · 29th of 343 in Canada29thCloseness of the racePopulation, largest first: 119,500 people, 2021 census · 74th of 343 in Canada74thPopulation, largest first
One of 343The Political Record

A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.

Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.

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