The Political Record · Federal electoral districts
Burlington
Federal riding · ON · No. 35017 · 2023 representation order
- Member
- Karina Gould Liberal
- 2025 result
- Liberal hold by 11,907 votes
- Turnout
- 76.5% of 102,695 electors
- Population
- 125,435 2021 census
- Area
- 85 km²
- Figures as of
- 2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
- Boundaries unchanged in 2023Covers the same ground as its predecessor · one of 59 of 343 by area
- Turnout76.5% of 102,695 electors voted · 17th of 343 in Canada
- Length of the ballot7 candidates stood · 24th of 343 in Canada
In brief
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
Karina Gould
- Chair: Finance
- Chair: Subcommittee on Agenda and Procedure
- Member: Finance
- Member: Liaison
IDid this riding change?
Essentially no. Today's Burlington covers almost exactly the same ground as the Burlington riding it replaced.
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.
IIThe 2025 result
Liberal hold
Elected
Karina Gould
Liberal
43,593
55.8% of valid votes
Margin
11,907
votes · +15.2 pts
Runner-up
Emily Brown
Conservative
31,686
40.6% of valid votes
Liberal 55.8% · Conservative 40.6% · New Democratic 2.0%
Turnout76.5% of 102,695 electors
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | 2021 | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karina Gould | Liberal | 43,593 | 55.8% | 45.5% | +10.3 |
| Emily Brown | Conservative | 31,686 | 40.6% | 37.0% | +3.6 |
| Michael Beauchemin | New Democratic | 1,549 | 2.0% | 10.8% | −8.8 |
4 further candidates, each under 1% of the vote
| Kyle Hutton | Green | 595 | 0.8% |
| Michael Bator | People's | 523 | 0.7% |
| Ocean Marshall | Other | 105 | 0.1% |
| Paul Harper | Other | 75 | 0.1% |
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.
IIIHow close was it, really
Swing needed to flip
7.6 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
1,549 votes
New Democratic took fewer than the 11,907-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
78 of 235
6 polls ended in an exact tie.
Flip the seatHypothetical
It would have taken 5,954 voters switching from Liberal to Conservative — 7.6% of the 78,126 valid votes, 7.6 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.
Liberal43,593
Conservative31,686
Still Liberal by 11,907 votes. Actual margin: 11,907.
IVElection day versus advance
Only 52.3% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.
Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Liberal51.2%60.8%+9.6
Conservative44.3%36.5%−7.8
New Democratic2.5%1.5%−1.0
Green0.9%0.6%−0.3
People's0.8%0.5%−0.3
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.
VWhat kind of place this is
- Median total household income is $101,000 — about 1.2 times the median riding's $84,000.highestlowest61st highest of 343
- Median age is 46.0 — a little higher than the median riding's 41.6.highestlowest65th highest of 343
- Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 41.0% — about 1.5 times the median riding's 28.2%.highestlowest94th highest of 343
- Share who are immigrants is 23.6% — about 1.4 times the median riding's 17.3%.highestlowest133rd highest of 343
- Share of households that own their home is 69.5% — about the same as the median riding's 71.4%.highestlowest151st lowest of 343
- Share with French as a mother tongue is 1.5% — a little lower than the median riding's 1.6%.highestlowest166th lowest of 343
2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.
VIWhere it is
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The card
No. 35017ON · 2025
Burlington
Karina Gould
- Result
- Liberal hold by 11,907
- Turnout
- 76.5%
- Population
- 125,435
- Area
- 85 km²
Boundaries unchanged in 2023TurnoutLength of the ballot
One of 343The Political Record
A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.
Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.
Open a neighbour to collect the next one.