The Political Record · Federal electoral districts
Hamilton East—Stoney Creek
Hamilton-Est—Stoney Creek
Federal riding · ON · No. 35037 · 2023 representation order
- Member
- Ned Kuruc Conservative
- 2025 result
- Conservative gain by 1,479 votes
- Turnout
- 69.0% of 98,661 electors
- Population
- 126,690 2021 census
- Area
- 80 km²
- Figures as of
- 2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
- Changed hands in 2025One of 58 of 343 ridings where the winning party changed from the transposed 2021 result (21 of 122 in Ontario)
- Population, largest first126,690 people, 2021 census · 15th of 343 in Canada
- Closeness of the raceWon by 1,479 votes (2.2 pts) · 30th of 343 in Canada
In brief
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
Ned Kuruc
- Member: Public Accounts
IDid this riding change?
Yes. 21% of today's Hamilton East—Stoney Creek came from ridings other than the old Hamilton East—Stoney Creek.
Share of today's areaFormer riding
79.2%Hamilton East—Stoney Creek 81% of it kept
20.8%Flamborough—Glanbrook 2% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.
IIThe 2025 result
Conservative gain
Elected
Ned Kuruc
Conservative
32,857
48.7% of valid votes
Margin
1,479
votes · +2.2 pts
Runner-up
Chad Collins
Liberal
31,378
46.5% of valid votes
Conservative 48.7% · Liberal 46.5% · New Democratic 3.7% · People's 1.1%
Turnout69.0% of 98,661 electors
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | 2021 | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ned Kuruc | Conservative | 32,857 | 48.7% | 29.8% | +18.9 |
| Chad Collins | Liberal | 31,378 | 46.5% | 38.7% | +7.8 |
| Nayla Mithani | New Democratic | 2,471 | 3.7% | 21.5% | −17.8 |
| Jim Boutsikakis | People's | 762 | 1.1% | 7.2% | −6.1 |
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.
IIIHow close was it, really
Swing needed to flip
1.1 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
2,471 votes
New Democratic took more than the 1,479-vote margin. True in 100 of 343 ridings in 2025.
Election-day polls won by others
44 of 206
3 polls ended in an exact tie.
Flip the seatHypothetical
It would have taken 740 voters switching from Conservative to Liberal — 1.1% of the 67,468 valid votes, 1.1 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.
Conservative32,857
Liberal31,378
Still Conservative by 1,479 votes. Actual margin: 1,479.
IVElection day versus advance
Only 55.9% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.
Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Conservative51.6%45.1%−6.5
Liberal42.9%51.0%+8.1
New Democratic4.2%3.0%−1.2
People's1.3%0.9%−0.4
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.
VWhat kind of place this is
- Median total household income is $88,000 — a little higher than the median riding's $84,000.highestlowest128th highest of 343
- Median age is 40.8 — about the same as the median riding's 41.6.highestlowest141st lowest of 343
- Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 26.3% — a little lower than the median riding's 28.2%.highestlowest157th lowest of 343
- Share who are immigrants is 31.9% — about 1.8 times the median riding's 17.3%.highestlowest97th highest of 343
- Share of households that own their home is 69.3% — about the same as the median riding's 71.4%.highestlowest148th lowest of 343
- Share with French as a mother tongue is 1.0% — about 63 percent of the median riding's 1.6%.highestlowest101st lowest of 343
2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.
VIWhere it is
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The card
No. 35037ON · 2025
Hamilton East—Stoney Creek
Ned Kuruc
- Result
- Conservative gain by 1,479
- Turnout
- 69.0%
- Population
- 126,690
- Area
- 80 km²
Changed hands in 2025Population, largest firstCloseness of the race
One of 343The Political Record
A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.
Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.
Open a neighbour to collect the next one.