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The Political RecordFederal electoral districtsNo. 35037Ontario

Hamilton East—Stoney Creek

Hamilton-Est—Stoney Creek

Hamilton East—Stoney Creek is a federal riding in Ontario. Ned Kuruc (Conservative) has represented Hamilton East—Stoney Creek since the 2025 election. Ned Kuruc (Conservative) took Hamilton East—Stoney Creek from the Liberals in the 2025 election by 1,479 votes (2.2 points), with 48.7% of the vote. Chad Collins (Liberal) was second with 46.5%, on a turnout of 69.0% of 98,661 electors. Member as of .

Burlington · LiberalFlamborough—Glanbrook—Brant North · ConservativeHamilton Centre · LiberalHamilton Mountain · LiberalNiagara West · ConservativeHamilton East—Stoney Creek
Fig. 1 — Hamilton East—Stoney Creek on the board, 2023 boundaries; the ridings next door as the House holds them on . Open it on the board →

Who represents Hamilton East—Stoney Creek

CNed Kuruc
Ned Kuruc's piece from the board. Illustration after the official portrait © House of Commons.

Ned Kuruc

Member of Parliament for Hamilton East—Stoney Creek

Conservative

MP since · first term

  • Public Accounts committee

133 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Business of Supply — Main Estimates and Supplementary Estimates (A), 2025-26.

Contact and office · House of Commons →

The 2025 result: Conservative gain from the Liberals

Share of the valid votes by candidate, Hamilton East—Stoney Creek, April 28, 2025

Share of the valid votes by candidate, Hamilton East—Stoney Creek, April 28, 2025Of the 67,468 valid votes, Ned Kuruc (Conservative) took 48.7%, Chad Collins (Liberal) 46.5%, Nayla Mithani (New Democratic) 3.7% and Jim Boutsikakis (People's Party) 1.1%.2025Turnout 69.0% of 98,661 electorsNed KurucConservative48.7% · 32,8571,479 votes ahead · 2.2 ptsChad CollinsLiberal46.5% · 31,378Nayla MithaniNew Democratic3.7% · 2,471Jim BoutsikakisPeople's Party1.1% · 762050%100%
Share of the valid votes by candidate, Hamilton East—Stoney Creek, April 28, 2025Of the 67,468 valid votes, Ned Kuruc (Conservative) took 48.7%, Chad Collins (Liberal) 46.5%, Nayla Mithani (New Democratic) 3.7% and Jim Boutsikakis (People's Party) 1.1%.2025Turnout 69.0% of 98,661 electorsNed KurucConservative48.7% · 32,8571,479 votes ahead · 2.2 ptsChad CollinsLiberal46.5% · 31,378Nayla MithaniNew Democratic3.7% · 2,471Jim BoutsikakisPeople's Party1.1% · 762050%100%
Shares of the 67,468 valid votes; a candidate under 1% is counted with the others. Source: Elections Canada, official voting results, the 2025 general election.
The figures
CandidatePartyVotesShare
Ned KurucConservative32,85748.7%
Chad CollinsLiberal31,37846.5%
Nayla MithaniNew Democratic2,4713.7%
Jim BoutsikakisPeople's Party7621.1%

Ned Kuruc (Conservative) won Hamilton East—Stoney Creek on with 32,857 votes, 48.7% of the 67,468 valid votes. Chad Collins (Liberal) was second with 31,378 (46.5%), 1,479 votes and 2.2 points behind.

Of the 67,468 valid votes, Ned Kuruc (Conservative) took 48.7%, Chad Collins (Liberal) 46.5%, Nayla Mithani (New Democratic) 3.7% and Jim Boutsikakis (People's Party) 1.1%. Turnout was 69.0% of 98,661 electors: 68,040 ballots cast, 67,468 of them valid, for 4 candidates.

Since 2021

Against the 2021 result on these boundaries, the Conservatives are up 18.9 (29.8% to 48.7%), the Liberals up 7.8 (38.7% to 46.5%), the New Democrats down 17.8 (21.5% to 3.7%) and the People's Party down 6.1 (7.2% to 1.1%), in points of the valid votes.

2021 is Elections Canada's transposition of that election onto the 2023 boundaries, not an election held on these lines.

Since 2004: no party has held it

The party first in Hamilton East—Stoney Creek at each general election, 2004 to 2025, on today's boundaries

  1. 2004Liberal38.1%by 7.5 points over the New Democrats
  2. 2006Liberal34.0%by 3.0 points over the New Democrats
  3. 2008changed handsNew Democratic34.6%by 3.7 points over the Conservatives
  4. 2011changed handsConservative41.5%by 2.2 points over the New Democrats
  5. 2015changed handsLiberal39.0%by 9.2 points over the Conservatives
  6. 2019Liberal38.1%by 9.4 points over the Conservatives
  7. 2021Liberal38.7%by 8.9 points over the Conservatives
  8. 2025changed handsConservative48.7%by 2.2 points over the Liberals
Each election carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate to 2019, Elections Canada's transposition for 2021, the official result for 2025. Parties are counted as they ran.
The figures
YearFirstShareSecondMargin (pts)Basis
2004Liberal38.1%New Democratic7.5carried, our estimate
2006Liberal34.0%New Democratic3.0carried, our estimate
2008New Democratic34.6%Conservative3.7carried, our estimate
2011Conservative41.5%New Democratic2.2carried, our estimate
2015Liberal39.0%Conservative9.2carried, our estimate
2019Liberal38.1%Conservative9.4carried, our estimate
2021Liberal38.7%Conservative8.9transposed by Elections Canada
2025Conservative48.7%Liberal2.2official result

The Liberals were first at five of the eight general elections from 2004 to 2025, the Conservatives at two and the NDP at one; it changed hands four times. In 2025 the Conservatives took 48.7% of the vote here, 17.5 points above their average of 31.2% at the seven general elections from 2004 to 2021.

On today's boundaries the Liberals were first here in 2004 (38.1%), 2006 (34.0%), 2015 (39.0%), 2019 (38.1%) and 2021 (38.7%), the NDP in 2008 (34.6%) and the Conservatives in 2011 (41.5%) and 2025 (48.7%), each with the share of the valid votes shown.

A stronghold is a party first at every general election since 2004, by an average of 20 points or more over the next party; held, first at every one; usually, first at all but one. By-elections are not counted. By this rule 160 of the 343 ridings have no degree. The results before 2021 are carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate, from the older boundaries of Taylor, Lucas, Kirby and Hewitt and the results in Sevi's "Who Runs?". 2021 is Elections Canada's transposition, and 2025 the official result.

Before 2025
  • 2021 Liberal · Chad Collins, by 4,424 votes (8.9 pts)
  • 2019 Liberal · Bob Bratina, by 5,182 votes (10.0 pts)
  • 2015 Liberal · Bob Bratina, by 3,157 votes (6.3 pts)

In the old Hamilton East—Stoney Creek on the 2013 boundaries, the riding most of the 2025 electors in today's Hamilton East—Stoney Creek lived in; Elections Canada's official results.

What kind of place Hamilton East—Stoney Creek is

Population
126,6902021 census
Area
80km²
Density
1,590people per km²
Electors
98,661on the 2025 lists
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
  • Changed hands in 2025: One of 58 of 343 ridings where the winning party changed from the transposed 2021 result (21 of 122 in Ontario)58
    Changed hands in 2025
    One of 58 of 343 ridings where the winning party changed from the transposed 2021 result (21 of 122 in Ontario)
  • Share who are immigrants is 31.9% — about 1.8 times the median riding's 17.3%.
    highestlowest97th highest of 343
  • Share with French as a mother tongue is 1.0% — about 63 percent of the median riding's 1.6%.
    highestlowest101st lowest of 343
  • Median total household income is $88,000 — a little higher than the median riding's $84,000.
    highestlowest128th highest of 343
  • Median age is 40.8 — about the same as the median riding's 41.6.
    highestlowest141st lowest of 343
  • Share of households that own their home is 69.3% — about the same as the median riding's 71.4%.
    highestlowest148th lowest of 343
  • Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 26.3% — a little lower than the median riding's 28.2%.
    highestlowest157th lowest of 343

2021 Census on the 2023 boundaries; each rule places this riding among all 343. Density is the census population over the riding's area.

IDid this riding change?

Yes. 75% of the 2025 electors in today's Hamilton East—Stoney Creek lived in the old Hamilton East—Stoney Creek; by area, 21% of the riding came from other ridings.

Share of today's electorsFormer riding
75.1%Hamilton East—Stoney Creek 79.2% of the area · 81% of it kept
24.9%Flamborough—Glanbrook 20.8% of the area · 2% of it kept
How this is measured. Electors: the share of the current riding's 2025 ordinary-list electors who lived in each former riding, each 2025 polling division placed in the 2013 riding a point inside it falls in. Area: the share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files, and how much of the former riding that part was. Area is land, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

CandidatePartyVotes%2021±
Ned KurucConservative32,85748.7%29.8%+18.9
Chad CollinsLiberal31,37846.5%38.7%+7.8
Nayla MithaniNew Democratic2,4713.7%21.5%−17.8
Jim BoutsikakisPeople's7621.1%7.2%−6.1
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Third place vs. the margin
2,471 votes
New Democratic took more than the 1,479-vote margin. True in 100 of 343 ridings in 2025.
Election-day polls won by others
44 of 206
3 polls ended in an exact tie.
Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Conservatives (159) · ■ won by another party (44) · ▨ tied (3).
Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 740 voters switching from Conservative to Liberal — 1.1% of the 67,468 valid votes, 1.1 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Conservative32,857
Liberal31,378
Still Conservative by 1,479 votes. Actual margin: 1,479.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 55.9% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.

On election day the Liberals took 42.9%, the Conservatives 51.6%, the New Democrats 4.2% and the People's Party 1.3%; in advance and special ballots, 51.0%, 45.1%, 3.0% and 0.9%, in that order.

Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, Hamilton East—Stoney Creek, April 28, 2025

Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, Hamilton East—Stoney Creek, April 28, 2025On election day the Liberals took 42.9%, the Conservatives 51.6%, the New Democrats 4.2% and the People's Party 1.3%; in advance and special ballots, 51.0%, 45.1%, 3.0% and 0.9%, in that order.Election dayAdvance and special± pts, the gapLiberal42.9%51.0%+8.1 ptsConservative51.6%45.1%−6.5 ptsNew Democratic4.2%3.0%−1.2 ptsPeople's Party1.3%0.9%−0.4 pts050%100%
Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, Hamilton East—Stoney Creek, April 28, 2025On election day the Liberals took 42.9%, the Conservatives 51.6%, the New Democrats 4.2% and the People's Party 1.3%; in advance and special ballots, 51.0%, 45.1%, 3.0% and 0.9%, in that order.Election dayAdvance and special± pts, the gapLiberal42.9%51.0%+8.1 ptsConservative51.6%45.1%−6.5 ptsNew Democratic4.2%3.0%−1.2 ptsPeople's Party1.3%0.9%−0.4 pts050%100%
Shares of the valid votes cast at election-day polls, and of those cast at advance polls, at mobile polls and by special ballot; the gap is the second less the first, in points. Source: Elections Canada, poll-by-poll results, the 2025 general election.
The figures
PartyElection dayAdvance and specialGap
Liberal42.9%51.0%+8.1
Conservative51.6%45.1%−6.5
New Democratic4.2%3.0%−1.2
People's Party1.3%0.9%−0.4
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhere it is

loading basemap…
Fig. 3 — Hamilton East—Stoney Creek and its 5 neighbouring ridings.

Sources and citation

"Hamilton East—Stoney Creek — federal riding profile and 2025 results." The Political Record. https://politicalrecord.ca/riding/hamilton-east-stoney-creek/ Accessed 2026-11-10.

Results and transposition: Elections Canada. Boundaries: Elections Canada / Statistics Canada, Open Government Licence – Canada. Census: Statistics Canada 2021 Census. Member: House of Commons.

Figures reconcile to the certified national total of 19,641,663 votes. The member is as the House of Commons listed them on 2026-11-01. Page built 2026-11-10.