The Political Record · Federal electoral districts

Riding Mountain

Mont-Riding
Federal riding · MB · No. 46007 · 2023 representation order
Fig. 1 — Riding Mountain, 2023 boundaries.
Member
Dan Mazier Conservative
2025 result
Conservative hold by 19,128 votes
Turnout
65.0% of 64,799 electors
Population
90,965 2021 census
Area
57,442 km²
Figures as of
2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
  • Widest margin in Manitoba: Won by 45.6 points (19,128 votes) · 2nd of 14 in Manitoba · 25th of 343 in Canada2nd
    Widest margin in Manitoba
    Won by 45.6 points (19,128 votes) · 2nd of 14 in Manitoba · 25th of 343 in Canada
  • Largest by area in Manitoba: 57,442 km² · 2nd of 14 in Manitoba · 23rd of 343 in Canada2nd
    Largest by area in Manitoba
    57,442 km² · 2nd of 14 in Manitoba · 23rd of 343 in Canada
  • Least populous in Manitoba: 90,965 people, 2021 census · 2nd of 14 in Manitoba · 51st of 343 in Canada2nd
    Least populous in Manitoba
    90,965 people, 2021 census · 2nd of 14 in Manitoba · 51st of 343 in Canada
In brief
  1. Dan Mazier held the seat for the Conservatives by 19,128 votes (+45.6 points).
  2. 2% of today's riding was drawn from other ridings in 2023.
  3. Election-day and advance voters agreed on the winner; 67.2% of votes were cast on the day.
  4. Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is the 19th lowest of 343 ridings.
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
Dan Mazier
Conservative · first elected 2019-10-21 · 3 terms
  • Member: Health
  • Member: Subcommittee on Agenda and Procedure
  • Vice-Chair: Health
183 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Business of Supply — Department of Citizenship and Immigration—Main Estimates, 2026-27.

IDid this riding change?

Yes. 2% of today's Riding Mountain came from ridings other than the old Dauphin—Swan River—Neepawa.

Share of today's areaFormer riding
98.5%Dauphin—Swan River—Neepawa
1.4%Portage—Lisgar 7% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

Conservative hold
Elected
Dan Mazier
Conservative
28,409
67.8% of valid votes
Margin
19,128
votes · +45.6 pts
Runner-up
Terry Hayward
Liberal
9,281
22.2% of valid votes
Conservative 67.8% · Liberal 22.2% · New Democratic 7.3% · People's 1.3% · Green 1.3%
Turnout65.0% of 64,799 electors
CandidatePartyVotes%2021±
Dan MazierConservative28,40967.8%58.9%+8.9
Terry HaywardLiberal9,28122.2%12.7%+9.5
Andrew Douglas MaxwellNew Democratic3,0727.3%14.4%−7.1
Jim OliverPeople's5641.3%10.5%−9.2
Liz ClaytonGreen5471.3%2.1%−0.8
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Swing needed to flip
22.8 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
3,072 votes
New Democratic took fewer than the 19,128-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
17 of 181
No poll ended in a tie.
Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Conservatives (164) · ■ won by another party (17).
Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 9,565 voters switching from Conservative to Liberal — 22.8% of the 41,873 valid votes, 22.8 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Conservative28,409
Liberal9,281
Still Conservative by 19,128 votes. Actual margin: 19,128.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 67.2% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.

Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Conservative68.9%65.7%−3.2
Liberal20.9%24.8%+3.9
New Democratic7.5%7.1%−0.4
People's1.5%1.1%−0.4
Green1.3%1.2%−0.1
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhat kind of place this is

2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.

VIWhere it is

loading basemap…
Fig. 3 — Riding Mountain and its 6 neighbouring ridings.

The card

No. 46007MB · 2025
Riding Mountain
Dan Mazier
Result
Conservative hold by 19,128
Turnout
65.0%
Population
90,965
Area
57,442 km²
Widest margin in Manitoba: Won by 45.6 points (19,128 votes) · 2nd of 14 in Manitoba · 25th of 343 in Canada2ndWidest margin in ManitobaLargest by area in Manitoba: 57,442 km² · 2nd of 14 in Manitoba · 23rd of 343 in Canada2ndLargest by area in ManitobaLeast populous in Manitoba: 90,965 people, 2021 census · 2nd of 14 in Manitoba · 51st of 343 in Canada2ndLeast populous in Manitoba
One of 343The Political Record

A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.

Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.

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