183 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Business of Supply — Department of Citizenship and Immigration—Main Estimates, 2026-27.
IDid this riding change?
Yes. 2% of today's Riding Mountain came from ridings other than the old Dauphin—Swan River—Neepawa.
Share of today's areaFormer riding
98.5%Dauphin—Swan River—Neepawa
1.4%Portage—Lisgar 7% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.
IIThe 2025 result
Conservative hold
Elected
Dan Mazier
Conservative
28,409
67.8% of valid votes
Margin
19,128
votes · +45.6 pts
Runner-up
Terry Hayward
Liberal
9,281
22.2% of valid votes
Conservative 67.8% · Liberal 22.2% · New Democratic 7.3% · People's 1.3% · Green 1.3%
Turnout65.0% of 64,799 electors
Candidate
Party
Votes
%
2021
±
Dan Mazier
Conservative
28,409
67.8%
58.9%
+8.9
Terry Hayward
Liberal
9,281
22.2%
12.7%
+9.5
Andrew Douglas Maxwell
New Democratic
3,072
7.3%
14.4%
−7.1
Jim Oliver
People's
564
1.3%
10.5%
−9.2
Liz Clayton
Green
547
1.3%
2.1%
−0.8
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.
IIIHow close was it, really
Swing needed to flip
22.8 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
3,072 votes
New Democratic took fewer than the 19,128-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
17 of 181
No poll ended in a tie.
Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Conservatives (164) · ■ won by another party (17).
Flip the seatHypothetical
It would have taken 9,565 voters switching from Conservative to Liberal — 22.8% of the 41,873 valid votes, 22.8 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.
Conservative28,409
Liberal9,281
Still Conservative by 19,128 votes. Actual margin: 19,128.
IVElection day versus advance
Only 67.2% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.
Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Conservative68.9%65.7%−3.2
Liberal20.9%24.8%+3.9
New Democratic7.5%7.1%−0.4
People's1.5%1.1%−0.4
Green1.3%1.2%−0.1
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.
VWhat kind of place this is
Median total household income is $66,000 — about 79 percent of the median riding's $84,000.
highestlowest41st lowest of 343
Median age is 40.8 — about the same as the median riding's 41.6.
highestlowest141st lowest of 343
Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 14.4% — about 51 percent of the median riding's 28.2%.
highestlowest19th lowest of 343
Share who are immigrants is 6.9% — about 40 percent of the median riding's 17.3%.
highestlowest79th lowest of 343
Share of households that own their home is 71.9% — about the same as the median riding's 71.4%.
highestlowest161st highest of 343
Share with French as a mother tongue is 1.5% — a little lower than the median riding's 1.6%.
highestlowest166th lowest of 343
2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.
VIWhere it is
loading basemap…
Fig. 3 — Riding Mountain and its 6 neighbouring ridings.
Widest margin in ManitobaLargest by area in ManitobaLeast populous in Manitoba
One of 343The Political Record
A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.
Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.