The Political RecordFederal electoral districtsNo. 46009Manitoba
Selkirk— Interlake— Eastman
Selkirk—
Who represents Selkirk— Interlake— Eastman
James Bezan
Member of Parliament for Selkirk—
Conservative
MP since · 8 terms
- National Defence committee
- Subcommittee on Agenda and Procedure
- Vice-Chair, National Defence committee
168 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Military Justice System Modernization Act.
The 2025 result: Conservative hold
Share of the valid votes by candidate, Selkirk—Interlake—Eastman, April 28, 2025
The figures
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| James Bezan | Conservative | 32,788 | 60.2% |
| Rhonda Nichol | Liberal | 16,570 | 30.4% |
| Josef Estabrooks | New Democratic | 3,535 | 6.5% |
| Wayne James | Green | 709 | 1.3% |
| Others (2) | 877 | 1.6% |
James Bezan (Conservative) won Selkirk—
Of the 54,479 valid votes, James Bezan (Conservative) took 60.2%, Rhonda Nichol (Liberal) 30.4%, Josef Estabrooks (New Democratic) 6.5% and Wayne James (Green) 1.3%; the 2 other candidates took 1.6% together. Turnout was 70.8% of 77,468 electors: 54,810 ballots cast, 54,479 of them valid, for 6 candidates.
Against the 2021 result on these boundaries, the Conservatives are up 3.6 (56.6% to 60.2%), the Liberals up 17.2 (13.2% to 30.4%), the New Democrats down 12.8 (19.3% to 6.5%) and the Greens down 1.4 (2.7% to 1.3%), in points of the valid votes.
2021 is Elections Canada's transposition of that election onto the 2023 boundaries, not an election held on these lines.
Since 2004: a Conservative stronghold
The party first in Selkirk—Interlake—Eastman at each general election, 2004 to 2025, on today's boundaries
- 2004Conservative48.8%by 24.0 points over the New Democrats
- 2006Conservative50.6%by 15.9 points over the New Democrats
- 2008Conservative61.0%by 37.4 points over the New Democrats
- 2011Conservative65.7%by 40.0 points over the New Democrats
- 2015Conservative51.9%by 20.5 points over the Liberals
- 2019Conservative62.7%by 44.8 points over the New Democrats
- 2021Conservative56.6%by 37.3 points over the New Democrats
- 2025Conservative60.2%by 29.8 points over the Liberals
The figures
| Year | First | Share | Second | Margin (pts) | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | Conservative | 48.8% | New Democratic | 24.0 | carried, our estimate |
| 2006 | Conservative | 50.6% | New Democratic | 15.9 | carried, our estimate |
| 2008 | Conservative | 61.0% | New Democratic | 37.4 | carried, our estimate |
| 2011 | Conservative | 65.7% | New Democratic | 40.0 | carried, our estimate |
| 2015 | Conservative | 51.9% | Liberal | 20.5 | carried, our estimate |
| 2019 | Conservative | 62.7% | New Democratic | 44.8 | carried, our estimate |
| 2021 | Conservative | 56.6% | New Democratic | 37.3 | transposed by Elections Canada |
| 2025 | Conservative | 60.2% | Liberal | 29.8 | official result |
The Conservatives were first here at all eight general elections from 2004 to 2025, by an average of 31.2 points over the next party. In 2025 the Conservatives took 60.2% of the vote here, 3.4 points above their average of 56.8% at the seven general elections from 2004 to 2021.
On today's boundaries the Conservatives were first here in 2004 (48.8%), 2006 (50.6%), 2008 (61.0%), 2011 (65.7%), 2015 (51.9%), 2019 (62.7%), 2021 (56.6%) and 2025 (60.2%), each with the share of the valid votes shown.
A stronghold is a party first at every general election since 2004, by an average of 20 points or more over the next party; held, first at every one; usually, first at all but one. By-elections are not counted. By this rule 77 of the 343 ridings are strongholds. The results before 2021 are carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate, from the older boundaries of Taylor, Lucas, Kirby and Hewitt and the results in Sevi's "Who Runs?". 2021 is Elections Canada's transposition, and 2025 the official result.
- 2021 Conservative · James Bezan, by 18,704 votes (37.7 pts)
- 2019 Conservative · James Bezan, by 22,236 votes (44.8 pts)
- 2015 Conservative · James Bezan, by 10,109 votes (20.5 pts)
In the old Selkirk—Interlake—Eastman on the 2013 boundaries, the riding most of the 2025 electors in today's Selkirk—Interlake—Eastman lived in; Elections Canada's official results.
What kind of place Selkirk— Interlake— Eastman is
- Population
- 98,6152021 census
- Area
- 25,694km²
- Density
- 3.8people per km²
- Electors
- 77,468on the 2025 lists
- 2nd-most candidates on the ballot in Manitoba6 candidates stood · 2nd of 14 in Manitoba · 61st of 343 in Canada
- 3rd-largest by area in Manitoba25,694 km² · 3rd of 14 in Manitoba · 45th of 343 in Canada
- Share of households that own their home is 83.9% — about 1.2 times the median riding's 71.4%.highestlowest24th highest of 343
- Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 15.1% — about 54 percent of the median riding's 28.2%.highestlowest34th lowest of 343
- Median age is 47.2 — a little higher than the median riding's 41.6.highestlowest47th highest of 343
- Share who are immigrants is 6.8% — about 39 percent of the median riding's 17.3%.highestlowest76th lowest of 343
- Share with French as a mother tongue is 2.1% — about 1.3 times the median riding's 1.6%.highestlowest135th highest of 343
- Median total household income is $80,000 — a little lower than the median riding's $84,000.highestlowest147th lowest of 343
2021 Census on the 2023 boundaries; each rule places this riding among all 343. Density is the census population over the riding's area.
IDid this riding change?
Yes. 100% of the 2025 electors in today's Selkirk—Interlake—Eastman lived in the old Selkirk—Interlake—Eastman; by area, 2% of the riding came from other ridings.
IIThe 2025 result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | 2021 | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Bezan | Conservative | 32,788 | 60.2% | 56.6% | +3.6 |
| Rhonda Nichol | Liberal | 16,570 | 30.4% | 13.2% | +17.2 |
| Josef Estabrooks | New Democratic | 3,535 | 6.5% | 19.3% | −12.8 |
| Wayne James | Green | 709 | 1.3% | 2.7% | −1.4 |
2 further candidates, each under 1% of the vote
| Byron Gryba | People's | 473 | 0.9% |
| Chris Riddell | Other | 404 | 0.7% |
IIIHow close was it, really
It would have taken 8,110 voters switching from Conservative to Liberal — 14.9% of the 54,479 valid votes, 14.9 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.
IVElection day versus advance
Only 56.9% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.
On election day the Conservatives took 62.9%, the Liberals 26.7%, the New Democrats 7.1% and the Greens 1.4%; in advance and special ballots, 56.6%, 35.4%, 5.6% and 1.1%, in that order.
Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, Selkirk—Interlake—Eastman, April 28, 2025
The figures
| Party | Election day | Advance and special | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 62.9% | 56.6% | −6.3 |
| Liberal | 26.7% | 35.4% | +8.7 |
| New Democratic | 7.1% | 5.6% | −1.5 |
| Green | 1.4% | 1.1% | −0.3 |