The Political Record · Federal electoral districts
Saint John—St. Croix
Federal riding · NB · No. 13009 · 2023 representation order
- Member
- John Williamson Conservative
- 2025 result
- Conservative hold by 5,807 votes
- Turnout
- 74.2% of 68,013 electors
- Population
- 80,190 2021 census
- Area
- 11,173 km²
- Figures as of
- 2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
- Closest race in New BrunswickWon by 5,807 votes (11.6 pts) · 2nd of 10 in New Brunswick · 128th of 343 in Canada
- Most candidates on the ballot in New Brunswick5 candidates stood · 3rd of 10 in New Brunswick · 156th of 343 in Canada
- Population, smallest first80,190 people, 2021 census · 25th of 343 in Canada
In brief
- John Williamson held the seat for the Conservatives by 5,807 votes (+11.6 points).
- 4% of today's riding was drawn from other ridings in 2023.
- Election-day and advance voters agreed on the winner; 52.5% of votes were cast on the day.
- Share of households that own their home is the 29th highest of 343 ridings.
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
John Williamson
- Chair: Public Accounts
- Chair: Subcommittee on Agenda and Procedure
- Member: Liaison
- Member: Public Accounts
IDid this riding change?
Yes. 4% of today's Saint John—St. Croix came from ridings other than the old New Brunswick Southwest.
Share of today's areaFormer riding
95.8%New Brunswick Southwest 87% of it kept
2.5%Fredericton 16% of it kept
1.7%Saint John—Rothesay 36% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.
IIThe 2025 result
Conservative hold
Elected
John Williamson
Conservative
26,591
53.1% of valid votes
Margin
5,807
votes · +11.6 pts
Runner-up
Karen Ludwig
Liberal
20,784
41.5% of valid votes
Conservative 53.1% · Liberal 41.5% · New Democratic 3.3% · Green 1.6%
Turnout74.2% of 68,013 electors
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | 2021 | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Williamson | Conservative | 26,591 | 53.1% | 46.7% | +6.4 |
| Karen Ludwig | Liberal | 20,784 | 41.5% | 27.9% | +13.6 |
| Andrew Hill | New Democratic | 1,643 | 3.3% | 13.0% | −9.7 |
| Gerald Irish | Green | 794 | 1.6% | 4.0% | −2.4 |
1 further candidate, under 1% of the vote
| Keith Tays | Other | 280 | 0.6% |
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.
IIIHow close was it, really
Swing needed to flip
5.8 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
1,643 votes
New Democratic took fewer than the 5,807-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
34 of 178
No poll ended in a tie.
Flip the seatHypothetical
It would have taken 2,904 voters switching from Conservative to Liberal — 5.8% of the 50,092 valid votes, 5.8 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.
Conservative26,591
Liberal20,784
Still Conservative by 5,807 votes. Actual margin: 5,807.
IVElection day versus advance
Only 52.5% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.
Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Conservative57.7%47.9%−9.8
Liberal35.7%47.9%+12.2
New Democratic3.9%2.6%−1.3
Green2.0%1.1%−0.9
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.
VWhat kind of place this is
- Median total household income is $74,500 — a little lower than the median riding's $84,000.highestlowest92nd lowest of 343
- Median age is 47.2 — a little higher than the median riding's 41.6.highestlowest47th highest of 343
- Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 17.6% — about 62 percent of the median riding's 28.2%.highestlowest66th lowest of 343
- Share who are immigrants is 4.5% — about 26 percent of the median riding's 17.3%.highestlowest50th lowest of 343
- Share of households that own their home is 83.5% — about 1.2 times the median riding's 71.4%.highestlowest29th highest of 343
- Share with French as a mother tongue is 3.6% — about 2.3 times the median riding's 1.6%.highestlowest111th highest of 343
2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.
VIWhere it is
loading basemap…
The card
No. 13009NB · 2025
Saint John—St. Croix
John Williamson
- Result
- Conservative hold by 5,807
- Turnout
- 74.2%
- Population
- 80,190
- Area
- 11,173 km²
Closest race in New BrunswickMost candidates on the ballot in New BrunswickPopulation, smallest first
One of 343The Political Record
A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.
Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.
Open a neighbour to collect the next one.