Parliamentary Secretary to the Minister of Foreign Affairs
Member: Foreign Affairs and International Development
IDid this riding change?
Yes. 30% of today's Don Valley West came from ridings other than the old Don Valley West.
Share of today's areaFormer riding
69.7%Don Valley West 74% of it kept
30.3%Don Valley East 42% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.
IIThe 2025 result
Liberal hold
Elected
Rob Oliphant
Liberal
36,744
62.6% of valid votes
Margin
17,264
votes · +29.4 pts
Runner-up
Robert Pierce
Conservative
19,480
33.2% of valid votes
Liberal 62.6% · Conservative 33.2% · New Democratic 2.4% · Green 1.1%
Turnout68.1% of 86,895 electors
Candidate
Party
Votes
%
2021
±
Rob Oliphant
Liberal
36,744
62.6%
56.7%
+5.9
Robert Pierce
Conservative
19,480
33.2%
29.6%
+3.6
Linnea Löfström-Abary
New Democratic
1,382
2.4%
9.1%
−6.7
Sheena Sharp
Green
616
1.1%
1.1%
+0.0
1 further candidate, under 1% of the vote
Bahira Abdulsalam
Independent
442
0.8%
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.
IIIHow close was it, really
Swing needed to flip
14.7 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
1,382 votes
New Democratic took fewer than the 17,264-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
16 of 140
1 poll ended in an exact tie.
Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Liberals (123) · ■ won by another party (16) · ▨ tied (1).
Flip the seatHypothetical
It would have taken 8,633 voters switching from Liberal to Conservative — 14.7% of the 58,664 valid votes, 14.7 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.
Liberal36,744
Conservative19,480
Still Liberal by 17,264 votes. Actual margin: 17,264.
IVElection day versus advance
Only 55.6% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.
Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Liberal60.3%65.6%+5.3
Conservative34.7%31.4%−3.3
New Democratic2.9%1.7%−1.2
Green1.1%0.9%−0.2
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.
VWhat kind of place this is
Median total household income is $88,000 — a little higher than the median riding's $84,000.
highestlowest128th highest of 343
Median age is 41.2 — about the same as the median riding's 41.6.
highestlowest161st lowest of 343
Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 58.0% — about 2.1 times the median riding's 28.2%.
highestlowest17th highest of 343
Share who are immigrants is 46.9% — about 2.7 times the median riding's 17.3%.
highestlowest39th highest of 343
Share of households that own their home is 48.1% — about 67 percent of the median riding's 71.4%.
highestlowest43rd lowest of 343
Share with French as a mother tongue is 1.3% — about 81 percent of the median riding's 1.6%.
highestlowest141st lowest of 343
2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.
VIWhere it is
loading basemap…
Fig. 3 — Don Valley West and its 7 neighbouring ridings.
Area, smallest firstPopulation, largest firstWidth of the margin
One of 343The Political Record
A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.
Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.