The Political Record · Federal electoral districts
Oxford
Federal riding · ON · No. 35083 · 2023 representation order
- Member
- Arpan Khanna Conservative
- 2025 result
- Conservative hold by 10,880 votes
- Turnout
- 71.5% of 100,501 electors
- Population
- 121,780 2021 census
- Area
- 2,165 km²
- Figures as of
- 2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
- Length of the ballot8 candidates stood · 11th of 343 in Canada
- Population, largest first121,780 people, 2021 census · 45th of 343 in Canada
- Turnout71.5% of 100,501 electors voted · 118th of 343 in Canada
In brief
- Arpan Khanna held the seat for the Conservatives by 10,880 votes (+15.2 points).
- The riding shrank in 2023: it keeps 91% of the old Oxford.
- Election-day and advance voters agreed on the winner; 55.5% of votes were cast on the day.
- Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is the 55th lowest of 343 ridings.
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
Arpan Khanna
IDid this riding change?
Yes — it shrank. All of today's Oxford comes from the old Oxford, but it is only 91% of that riding. The rest went elsewhere.
Share of today's areaFormer riding
100.0%Oxford 91% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.
IIThe 2025 result
Conservative hold
Elected
Arpan Khanna
Conservative
38,191
53.4% of valid votes
Margin
10,880
votes · +15.2 pts
Runner-up
David Hilderley
Liberal
27,311
38.2% of valid votes
Conservative 53.4% · Liberal 38.2% · New Democratic 4.3% · Other 1.7% · Green 1.3%
Turnout71.5% of 100,501 electors
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | 2021 | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arpan Khanna | Conservative | 38,191 | 53.4% | 46.5% | +6.9 |
| David Hilderley | Liberal | 27,311 | 38.2% | 20.6% | +17.6 |
| Matthew Chambers | New Democratic | 3,046 | 4.3% | 18.3% | −14.0 |
| Jacob Watson | Other | 1,203 | 1.7% | 0.8% | +1.1 |
| Cheryle Baker | Green | 897 | 1.3% | 2.7% | −1.4 |
3 further candidates, each under 1% of the vote
| Steven Beausoleil | People's | 642 | 0.9% |
| Melanie Van Brugge | Other | 152 | 0.2% |
| Akshay Varun Raj Vardhan | Independent | 109 | 0.2% |
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.
IIIHow close was it, really
Swing needed to flip
7.6 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
3,046 votes
New Democratic took fewer than the 10,880-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
17 of 201
1 poll ended in an exact tie.
Flip the seatHypothetical
It would have taken 5,441 voters switching from Conservative to Liberal — 7.6% of the 71,551 valid votes, 7.6 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.
Conservative38,191
Liberal27,311
Still Conservative by 10,880 votes. Actual margin: 10,880.
IVElection day versus advance
Only 55.5% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.
Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Conservative55.7%50.5%−5.2
Liberal34.4%42.9%+8.5
New Democratic4.8%3.5%−1.3
Other2.4%1.2%−1.2
Green1.5%1.0%−0.5
People's1.1%0.7%−0.4
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.
VWhat kind of place this is
- Median total household income is $87,000 — a little higher than the median riding's $84,000.highestlowest138th highest of 343
- Median age is 41.6 — about the same as the median riding's 41.6.highestlowest163rd highest of 343
- Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 16.6% — about 59 percent of the median riding's 28.2%.highestlowest55th lowest of 343
- Share who are immigrants is 11.4% — about 66 percent of the median riding's 17.3%.highestlowest128th lowest of 343
- Share of households that own their home is 73.4% — about the same as the median riding's 71.4%.highestlowest142nd highest of 343
- Share with French as a mother tongue is 0.9% — about 56 percent of the median riding's 1.6%.highestlowest79th lowest of 343
2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.
VIWhere it is
loading basemap…
The card
No. 35083ON · 2025
Oxford
Arpan Khanna
- Result
- Conservative hold by 10,880
- Turnout
- 71.5%
- Population
- 121,780
- Area
- 2,165 km²
Length of the ballotPopulation, largest firstTurnout
One of 343The Political Record
A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.
Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.
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