The Political Record · Federal electoral districts
Bowmanville—Oshawa North
Bowmanville—Oshawa-Nord
Federal riding · ON · No. 35008 · 2023 representation order
- Member
- Jamil Jivani Conservative
- 2025 result
- Conservative hold by 3,018 votes
- Turnout
- 69.7% of 102,318 electors
- Population
- 128,535 2021 census
- Area
- 412 km²
- Figures as of
- 2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
- Most candidates on the ballot in Canada9 candidates stood · 5th of 343
- Most populous in Canada128,535 people, 2021 census · 8th of 343
- Closeness of the raceWon by 3,018 votes (4.3 pts) · 60th of 343 in Canada
In brief
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
Jamil Jivani
IDid this riding change?
Yes — it shrank. All of today's Bowmanville—Oshawa North comes from the old Durham, but it is only 43% of that riding. The rest went elsewhere.
Share of today's areaFormer riding
100.0%Durham 43% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.
IIThe 2025 result
Conservative hold
Elected
Jamil Jivani
Conservative
35,232
49.8% of valid votes
Margin
3,018
votes · +4.3 pts
Runner-up
Bridget Girard
Liberal
32,214
45.5% of valid votes
Conservative 49.8% · Liberal 45.5% · New Democratic 2.9%
Turnout69.7% of 102,318 electors
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | 2021 | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamil Jivani | Conservative | 35,232 | 49.8% | 44.4% | +5.4 |
| Bridget Girard | Liberal | 32,214 | 45.5% | 30.6% | +14.9 |
| Elenor Marano | New Democratic | 2,032 | 2.9% | 18.3% | −15.4 |
6 further candidates, each under 1% of the vote
| Julie Dietrich | Green | 546 | 0.8% |
| Pranay Gunti | Independent | 264 | 0.4% |
| Thomas Zekveld | Other | 155 | 0.2% |
| Clint Cole | Other | 143 | 0.2% |
| Ghuzna Imam | Other | 134 | 0.2% |
| Adam Smith | Other | 68 | 0.1% |
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.
IIIHow close was it, really
Swing needed to flip
2.1 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
2,032 votes
New Democratic took fewer than the 3,018-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
54 of 217
5 polls ended in an exact tie.
Flip the seatHypothetical
It would have taken 1,510 voters switching from Conservative to Liberal — 2.1% of the 70,788 valid votes, 2.1 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.
Conservative35,232
Liberal32,214
Still Conservative by 3,018 votes. Actual margin: 3,018.
IVElection day versus advance
Only 55.4% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.
Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Conservative51.1%48.1%−3.0
Liberal43.5%48.0%+4.5
New Democratic3.3%2.3%−1.0
Green0.9%0.6%−0.3
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.
VWhat kind of place this is
- Median total household income is $113,000 — about 1.3 times the median riding's $84,000.highestlowest31st highest of 343
- Median age is 37.2 — a little lower than the median riding's 41.6.highestlowest46th lowest of 343
- Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 28.4% — about the same as the median riding's 28.2%.highestlowest169th highest of 343
- Share who are immigrants is 21.7% — about 1.3 times the median riding's 17.3%.highestlowest148th highest of 343
- Share of households that own their home is 82.5% — about 1.2 times the median riding's 71.4%.highestlowest36th highest of 343
- Share with French as a mother tongue is 1.5% — a little lower than the median riding's 1.6%.highestlowest166th lowest of 343
2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.
VIWhere it is
loading basemap…
The card
No. 35008ON · 2025
Bowmanville—Oshawa North
Jamil Jivani
- Result
- Conservative hold by 3,018
- Turnout
- 69.7%
- Population
- 128,535
- Area
- 412 km²
Most candidates on the ballot in CanadaMost populous in CanadaCloseness of the race
One of 343The Political Record
A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.
Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.
Open a neighbour to collect the next one.