The Political Record · Federal electoral districts
Parry Sound—Muskoka
Federal riding · ON · No. 35084 · 2023 representation order
- Member
- Scott Aitchison Conservative
- 2025 result
- Conservative hold by 6,179 votes
- Turnout
- 71.4% of 91,006 electors
- Population
- 104,505 2021 census
- Area
- 19,903 km²
- Figures as of
- 2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
- Oldest median ageMedian age 54.4, 3rd highest of 343 (Median age, 2021 census)
- Boundaries unchanged in 2023Covers the same ground as its predecessor · one of 59 of 343 by area
- Area, largest first19,903 km² · 50th of 343 in Canada
In brief
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
Scott Aitchison
IDid this riding change?
Essentially no. Today's Parry Sound—Muskoka covers almost exactly the same ground as the Parry Sound—Muskoka riding it replaced.
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.
IIThe 2025 result
Conservative hold
Elected
Scott Aitchison
Conservative
33,742
52.2% of valid votes
Margin
6,179
votes · +9.6 pts
Runner-up
Geordie Sabbagh
Liberal
27,563
42.6% of valid votes
Conservative 52.2% · Liberal 42.6% · New Democratic 3.6% · People's 1.6%
Turnout71.4% of 91,006 electors
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | 2021 | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Aitchison | Conservative | 33,742 | 52.2% | 47.7% | +4.5 |
| Geordie Sabbagh | Liberal | 27,563 | 42.6% | 21.5% | +21.1 |
| Heather Hay | New Democratic | 2,300 | 3.6% | 16.7% | −13.1 |
| Isabel Pereira | People's | 1,048 | 1.6% | 7.5% | −5.9 |
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.
IIIHow close was it, really
Swing needed to flip
4.8 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
2,300 votes
New Democratic took fewer than the 6,179-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
28 of 218
3 polls ended in an exact tie.
Flip the seatHypothetical
It would have taken 3,090 voters switching from Conservative to Liberal — 4.8% of the 64,653 valid votes, 4.8 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.
Conservative33,742
Liberal27,563
Still Conservative by 6,179 votes. Actual margin: 6,179.
IVElection day versus advance
Only 56.6% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.
Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Conservative56.0%47.2%−8.8
Liberal37.7%49.0%+11.3
New Democratic4.2%2.7%−1.5
People's2.1%1.1%−1.0
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.
VWhat kind of place this is
- Median total household income is $77,500 — a little lower than the median riding's $84,000.highestlowest121st lowest of 343
- Median age is 54.4 — about 1.3 times the median riding's 41.6.highestlowest3rd highest of 343
- Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 19.5% — about 69 percent of the median riding's 28.2%.highestlowest89th lowest of 343
- Share who are immigrants is 7.7% — about 45 percent of the median riding's 17.3%.highestlowest91st lowest of 343
- Share of households that own their home is 82.4% — about 1.2 times the median riding's 71.4%.highestlowest37th highest of 343
- Share with French as a mother tongue is 1.2% — about 75 percent of the median riding's 1.6%.highestlowest126th lowest of 343
2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.
VIWhere it is
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The card
No. 35084ON · 2025
Parry Sound—Muskoka
Scott Aitchison
- Result
- Conservative hold by 6,179
- Turnout
- 71.4%
- Population
- 104,505
- Area
- 19,903 km²
Oldest median ageBoundaries unchanged in 2023Area, largest first
One of 343The Political Record
A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.
Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.
Open a neighbour to collect the next one.